And then there were 4. It has been a long, hard season for all the drivers in the Cup Series, but as we head into the final race of the season, there are only 4 left with a shot at winning it all. While we are going to look at the remaining drivers and talk about what they have done this season, the reality is that their past performances need to be left in the rearview, as it’s all about what they deliver in this one final race. Points don’t matter one bit, as the only thing that matters in this one is the checkered flag and getting home ahead of the other 3 drivers. There are no real surprises to be found in the final group, as all of these drivers have done what is needed to get to Phoenix with a shot at being crowned champion. Let’s take a closer look at the final four heading into Cup Series Championship weekend so you can bet against the NASCAR Championship odds.
Odds to win the 2021 Cup Series Championship odds | NASCAR Betting Analysis
Kyle Larson (+180)
If you had said at the start of the season that Larson would be in the final four after accumulating the most wins throughout the year, you might have been considered a little crazy. After a 2020 season that saw him suspended in controversial circumstances, he returned with no sponsors and a lot of work to do to win back the fans. He has done that in a big way. Larson has been brilliant all season long, winning 9 races, which includes a 3 in a row run in the playoffs. Given those stats, it is no real surprise that he is in as the favorite. It certainly helps that he ran 3rd and 4th, respectively in his last 2 races in Phoenix.
Chase Elliott (+250)
You can’t really say that Elliott came out of nowhere to win the Cup Series last season but heading into the playoffs with just 1 win meant that he was considered a bit of an outside shot. He came to life when it mattered, winning 3 postseason races, including the final 2 races of the season. Elliott won 2 in the regular season in 2021, and while he has yet to take a checkered flag in the playoffs, a lot of race fans are still looking at him as the one to beat given the experience that he earned last season. I would certainly not be counting him out this weekend.
Denny Hamlin (+270)
Last season, it looked as though we were going to see a dogfight between Hamlin and Kevin Harvick after they delivered stellar regular seasons. Harvick crumbled in the playoffs, while Hamlin made it to the final 4 before coming up short. He will be looking for a shot of redemption this weekend on a track where he has done quite well in the pat. He was 4th there in 2020, but he won in 2019, when the Phoenix race was the penultimate race of the season.
Martin Truex Jr. (+350)
Truex Jr. comes in as the longshot to win it all on Sunday, which is perhaps a little surprising when you consider that he won on this Phoenix track earlier in the season. That was, though, a bit of a surprise given that his prior performances there had not been quite so memorable. This is a former champion, though, so he really could pick up another title with a solid run on Sunday.