Sure Losers College Football Week 1

New Mexico State Vs Texas A&M College Football Free Picks

Written by on October 26, 2016

The 10th-ranked Texas A&M Aggies will look to bounce back from their humbling Week 8 loss while keeping their slim CFB playoff hopes alive when they host the unranked New Mexico State Aggies at Kyle Field on Saturday.

Now, let’s find out if Texas A&M can cover the online betting spread as a whopping six-touchdown home favorite.

A Closer Look At The New Mexico State Aggies Vs Texas A&M Aggies College Football Free Picks

When: Saturday, October 29, 2016 at 7:30 PM ET
Where: Kyle Field
Live Stream: NCAA Live
Betting Odds:
Texas A&M -42.5

The New Mexico State Aggies (2-5 SU, 4-3 ATS) have lost two straight including their narrow 22-19 Week 8 loss to Georgia Southern in which they allowed Panthers quarterback Kevin Ellison to toss two fourth quarter TD passes. New Mexico State quarterback Tyler Rogers completed 22 of 39 pass attempts for 250 yards with two touchdowns and one interception while running back Larry Rose rushed for 81 yards on 22 carries. In the end however, it wasn’t enough to help New Mexico State to avoid their fourth loss in their last five games.

The Aggies are averaging a modest 25.8 points per game (86th) while giving up an insane 41.5 points per contest defensively to rank 125th nationally. Texas A&M (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) lost for the first time this season by falling to No. 1 Alabama 33-14 this past weekend while narrowly failing to cover the college football betting line as a 17.5-point underdogs. The good news however is that Texas A&M held a lead against the Crimson Tide later in the game than any Alabama opponent this season.

“You really have five minutes in the game that determined what happened,” Texas A&M coach Kevin Sumlin said. “We extended the drive with the roughing the passer, then we extended the drive again, I think it was an offsides. So you back that up with a fumble returned for a touchdown in a game like this, against a team like that, that can’t happen.” Quarterback Trevor Knight completed just 14 of 31 passes for a modest 164 yards with two touchdowns and one interception and was sacked five times in the loss.

Prediction and Pick

I have absolutely no doubt that Texas A&M will win this contest against overmatched New Mexico State, but damn, 42.5 points is a ton and a bit unimaginable for the Lone Star State Aggies to cover.

New Mexico State might be 14 ATS in their last five games, but the one-win tem is also 4-2 ATS in its last half-dozen games overall. With Texas A&M going 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games, I say keep it simple and take the points. New Mexico State covers in a losing effort.

Pick: New Mexico State +42.5 Points