With the 2019-20 PGA TOUR season coming to a close with this week’s 2020 TOUR Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, it’s time to take a look at the odds to win the star-studded, season-ending event and the top five golfers that could win and cash in against their value-packed PGA Tour odds. The annual PGA Tour Championship is unlike any other event on the tour, now, let’s find out why. Here is a quick look at the format.
2020 PGA Tour Championship Betting Odds and Predictions
PGA Tour Championship Format
The PGA Tour Championship features a 30-player field that features a strokes-based system, called the FedEx Starting Strokes. This format was instituted for the first time a year ago and selects a winner based on the player with the lowest total score. Here’s how it will work. World No. 1, Dustin Johnson, the FedEx Cup points leader after the first two playoffs events, will begin the TOUR Championship at 10-under par. World No. 2 Jon Rahm will begin at 8-under while No. 3, Justin Thomas opens at 7-under. No. 4, Webb Simpson opens at 6-under and No. 5 Collin Morikawa will start at 5-under.
After the top five players, the rest of the field is grouped in bunches of five and assigned the same score based on the FedEx Cup Standings. For example, five players (No. 6 through 10), will start at 4-under while the next five will open at 3-under until we get to the finale five players (No. 26-30), who will open at even par. Clearly, this format makes winning far more difficult for players at the lower end of the rankings. Now, let’s take a look at the odds to win.
Odds to Win 2020 PGA Tour Championship
Five To Bet On
No. 5 – Xander Schauffele
The 26-tear-old Californian will start at 3-under and a value-packed +2500 pick to win and I thin he deserves some real consideration. Schauffele, currently ranked 14th in the FedEx rankings, has been fantastic all season long in finishing inside the Top-25 in a whopping 15 of the 17 tournaments he’s played in. Yes, he’s yet to find his way into the winner’s circle, but the talented Schauffele is a long-ball hitter that averages 305.6 yards per drive (31st) while also ranking 17th in birdie average (4.18) and seventh in scoring average (69.342). Schauffele comes into this event off consecutive T25 finishes the last two weeks at the Northern Trust and BMW Championship.
No. 4 – Rory McIlroy
12th in the FedEx rankings, the 31-year-old McIlroy won the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions to claim his 18t PGA Tour title while defeating Schauffele in a playoff with a birdie on the first extra hole. While the sweet-swinging Ireland native comes into this event off a T12 finish at the BMW Championship and a disappointing T65 at the Northern Trust, McIlroy also ranks sixth in scoring average (69.229), fourth in driving distance (314.2) and second in eagles (77.5). Maybe it’s me, but I think McIlroy is due for a win and believe he’s offering some great value as a +2500 pick.
No. 3 – Justin Thomas
Third in the FedEx rankings, the 27-year-old Thomas has recorded three wins this season by bringing home the hardware at the CJ Cup@Nine Bridges, the Sentry Tournament of Champions and the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational on Aug. 2. Thomas has also racked up nine Top-10 finishes this season while ranking third in birdie average (4.53) and fifth in scoring average (69.180). The Kentucky native comes into this event off a T25 at the BMW Championship last week after finishing T49 at the Northern Trust the week prior. Thomas will be motivated and he’ll open just three shots off the lead and that means he’ll have a shot.
No. 2 – Collin Morikawa
Currently fifth in the FedEx standings, the blossoming 23-year-old Californian has six Top-10 finishes and two wins this season, including his first major by taking home the hardware at the PGA Championship last month. Yes, Morikawa missed the cut at the Northern Trust two weeks ago while finishing T20 last week at the BMW Championship, but the young stud is third in eagles (85.5) and 16th in scoring average (69.897). He’ll start five strokes behind Dustin Johnson, but Morikawa is so good, I think he’ll have a legitimate chance.
No. 1 – Dustin Johnson
The world No. 1 has a pair of wins this year at the Travelers Championship and the Northern trust two weeks ago and nearly claimed back-to-back wins by finishing second to Jon Rahm at last week’s BMW Championship. The 36-year-old Californian ranks 11t in driving distance (310.4), first in eagles (57.9), ninth in birdie average (4.29) and eighth in scoring average (69.411). Johnson has finished T12 or better in each of his last four tournaments and has a leg up on everyone else in this star-studded event, making the still major-less star my top pick to win the 2020 PGA Tour Championship.
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