2020 Preakness Stakes Early Expert Analysis

2020 Preakness Stakes Early Expert Analysis

Written by on September 28, 2020

The final Triple Crown horse race of the year happens on Saturday, October 3. Although Belmont and Travers winner Tiz the Law will skip the Run for the Blackeyed Susans to ready for the Breeders’ Cup Classic, Kentucky Derby winner Authentic will enter the starting gate. The Baffert trainee faces serious speed in filly Swiss Skydiver, though. Will Authentic prove too tough to get by in the Preakness? Check out top plays and Horse Racing Odds from Preakness Stakes for Saturday, October 3. You can also visit our Online Racebook to place your bets on active racetracks.

Horse Racing Odds & Pick | Preakness Stakes Early Predictions

2020 Preakness Stakes

  • When: Saturday, October 3
  • Where: Pimlico Racecourse, Baltimore, MD
  • Weather: Mostly Sunny

2020 Preakness Stakes Odds

  • Authentic +125
  • Art Collector +350
  • Rushie +1000
  • Swiss Skydiver +1400
  • King Guillermo +1800
  • Dr. Post +3300
  • Mr. Big News +1000
  • Pneumatic +1800
  • Mystic Guide +2000
  • Max Player +1400
  • Tap It to Win +2500
  • Money Moves +2500
  • Cezanne +1800
  • New York Traffic +1600
  • Stoneman +3300
  • Storm the Court +3300
  • Enforceable +3300
  • Sole Volante +4000
  • No Parole +4000
  • Major Fed +5000
  • Necker Island +5000
  • Attachment Rate +4000
  • South Bend +4000
  • Winning Impression +6600
  • Mongolian Wind +5000
  • Finnick the Fierce +8000
  • Lebda +10000
  • Leavyourbeastlife +2500
  • Jesus Team +3300
  • Excession +2200
  • Country Grammar +2000

Win: Authentic +125

Right now, it’s difficult seeing any contender out running Authentic to the first turn. Swiss Skydiver has enough speed to do it. But if the filly goes after Authentic before the first turn, her jockey could compromise her chances to win.

Once Authentic gets the lead, he’s almost impossible to run down. Since no horse entered, including Thousands Words if he goes, should push Authentic early, the Derby winner looks like a lock.

Place: Swiss Skydiver +1400 

The Kenny McPeek trained daughter of Daredevil and Exo Gold was right there in the Kentucky Oaks. If not for the best performance of Shedaresthedevil’s life, Swiss Skydiver would have run by and won the Oaks. She’s a talented enough filly to win the Preakness. She should also be a length or two off Authentic. 

If the Derby winner isn’t at the top of his game on Saturday, she’s the likeliest winner. One advantage? She’s much smaller than the boys, which means her jockey should have no trouble getting her through traffic if it’s required.

Show: Art Collector +350

Trained by Thomas Drury Jr., Art Collector has enough speed to stay close to Authentic as well. He hasn’t raced against a field nearly as good as this yet, but he has won five races in a row. If he can stick with Authentic early, Art Collector may have a shot. 

The problem? We know Authentic will fight in the stretch. We also know Swiss Skydiver will give it her all. We’re not one-hundred percent positive Art Collector won’t give up if things get tough. 

Fourth: Ny Traffic +1800

The second-place finisher in the Grade 1 Haskell Invitational over the summer was out of his element in the Kentucky Derby. Traffic runs most effectively when he’s near the lead. But Authentic got the first quarter at Churchill Downs in less than 23 seconds. It’s tough to go all in so early in a 1 ¼ mile race. The Preakness is at 1 3/16ths, though. So, whomever is on NYT’s back, the jockey should gun it from the outset to stay no more than a length behind Authentic.