One of the hottest Derby prospects last year finally showed up and ran a good race. Mandaloun displayed the type of talent that Derby winners show. But he wasn’t the only impressive runner from this past week. Godolphin unveiled yet another roses contender. Check out what happened this week on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. Also, check out top plays and Horse Racing Odds from Kentucky Derby for Saturday, May 1. You can also visit our Online Racebook to place your bets on active racetracks
Mandaloun Finally Shows Up, Godolphin Unleashes Prevalence
2021 Kentucky Derby
- When: Saturday, May 1, 2021
- Where: Churchill Downs, Louisville, KY
2021 Kentucky Derby Top 10
- Essential Quality +1200
- Life Is Good +1200
- Concert Tour +1200
- Caddo River +1200
- Greatest Honour +1600
- Proxy +2500
- Prevalence +1600
- Mandaloun +2000
- Medina Spirit +1600
- Risk Taking
Mandaloun and Proxy show up in Risen Star
After Mandaloun’s less than inspiring third-place finish in the Lecomte Stakes, trainer Brad Cox put blinkers on the son of Into Mischief. The equipment change worked.
Mandaloun tracked the speed in the Risen Star, ranged up to the leaders going around the turn, and then took his time before passing the front-runners and pulling away for an impressive victory. The Risen Star is a 1 1/8 mile race, meaning Mandaloun must get another 1/8 of a mile if he wishes to win the 1 ¼ Kentucky Derby.
Based on how he finished, 1 ¼ miles is no issue. Neither is 1 ½ miles, which means like half-brother Life Is Good, Mandaloun has the breeding to win the Triple Crown.
First thing’s first, though. Mandaloun must bring his A-game in the Louisiana Derby on March 20. He must also run a triple-digit Beyer speed figures. Horses that run triple-digit Beyers have the best shot of winning on the first Saturday in May.
The other impressive runner from the Risen Star is second-place finisher Proxy. Before writing off Proxy’s chances of taking the roses, consider that the greyish-white equine calls Tapit his sire.
Tapit has sired 3 Belmont Stakes winners but no Derby winners. Often, Tapit’s progeny improve in late-May and early June.
Proxy is improving in February, which makes him a solid future pick to win the roses. If he busts out with a triple-digit Beyer in the Louisiana Derby, move him up big time.
Prevalence adds to Godolphin’s Derby winning hand
Prevalence, a son of Medaglia d’Oro, was so impressive winning his first lifetime race, that he showed up on MyBookie at +1600. That makes him a co-second choice with Greatest Honour and Medina Spirit.
Prevalence is bred to be a monster. And to be sure, he dominated. The knock? The Godolphin runner broke his maiden in the impressive race. Going from maiden, to Derby prep, and then to the Kentucky Derby is a tough feat.
Then again, few three-year-olds show the professionalism that Prevalence displayed in the victory. He ran along the rail, didn’t blink while taking over from a front-runner in the two-path, relaxed while a horse came up to him and challenged, and then drew off.
It was as impressive of a three-year-old debut as any contender currently in the Top 10. Trainer Brendan Walsh is excellent with horses of any age and Prevalence’s mother is a Ghostzapper mare. All signs point to Prevalence being a special horse.
Essential Quality makes 2021 debut on Feb. 27 in the Southwest Stakes
Goldophin’s top 3-year-old, BC Juvenile winner Essential Quality, must wait until Feb. 27 for his first race this year.
Due to freezing weather, Oaklawn Park has canceled racing until next week. Hopefully, the sun will shine, and Quality can get onto the racetrack. If the Brad Cox trained equine can get a prep in soon, he may have to settle for a single prep before the Derby.
One prep is not optimal. Horses usually require a couple of preps. Three preps with at least three weeks before the Kentucky Derby has also proven a winning strategy.
Keepmeinmind and Jackie’s Warrior are also probable for the Southwest. The Southwest is at 1 1/16 miles. It will be interesting to see if Jackie’s Warrior tries to the steal the race or if trainer Steve Asmussen gives instructions to rate the speedy McLean’s Music sired colt.
The lone Derby prep this weekend is the Hyacinth at Tokyo Racecourse in Japan. Don’t expect a true Kentucky Derby contender to come out of that prep.