2021 Kentucky Derby Top 10 Expert Analysis Update

2021 Kentucky Derby Top 10 Expert Analysis Update

Written by on February 12, 2021

It’s not even mid-February and already the Kentucky Derby Trail is scorching. Last Saturday, two more top Run for the Roses prospects lifted their hoofs and neighed their way onto the Derby Trail. Check out top plays and Horse Racing Odds from Kentucky Derby for Saturday, May 1. You can also visit our Online Racebook to place your bets on active racetracks

Kentucky Derby Odds: Greatest Honour and Risk Taking Jump into Derby Top 10

2021 Kentucky Derby

  • When: Saturday, May 1, 2021
  • Where: Churchill Downs, Louisville, KY

2021 Kentucky Derby Top 10

  • Essential Quality +1000
  • Life Is Good +1100
  • Concert Tour +1200
  • Caddo River +1200
  • Greatest Honour +1500
  • Risk Taking 
  • Mutasaabeq 
  • Midnight Bourbon +1600
  • Medina Spirit +1600
  • Highly Motivated +2500

Greatest Honour and Risk Taking throw hats into Derby Ring

Claude McGaughey trained Greatest Honour made it two in a row with an impressive victory in the Holy Bull. The Tapit sired colt broke his maiden on Dec. 26. 

The day after Christmas victory came in his third try. In the Holy Bull, it was obvious that Greatest Honour had learned something from his maiden win. He easily over took the front-runner and bounded away to an open lengths win.

Third place finisher Prime Factor went off the chalk. Although a disappointing run, the race was Prime Factor’s second lifetime. The Todd Pletcher trainee should improve. 

Second-place Holy Bull finisher Tarantino can also improve. The Rodolphe Brisset trained equine calls Pioneer Of The Nile his sire. Pioneer Of The Nile sired American Pharoah. So, Tarantino has some upside.

As impressive as Greatest Honour’s victory was, Risk Taking’s win in the Grade 3 Withers impressed more. The Chad Brown trained 3-year-old ran right by Jerome winner Capo Kane and scored his first victory after the maiden. 

Sired by Medaglia d’Oro and from a Distorted Humor broodmare, Risk Taking has the pedigree and connections to win the Derby. He’s a serious contender. The Brown runner has a ton of upside.

But as good as Risk Taking looked, the best horse from the Withers could be Overtook. The Todd Pletcher trained runner cost a mint. Finally, he ran like it. The Withers is at 1 1/8 miles. 

The Derby is at 1 ¼. Overtook’s incredible closing kick could be more effective at the added Derby distance. Put the Pletcher runner on your Kentucky Derby radar for sure.   

Keepmeinmind makes 2021 debut in Risen Star

The Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes is this Saturday. Most expect the Robertino Diodoro runner Keepmeinmind to win the race.

A Laoban sired colt, Keepminmind won the Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club in his last. The chalk must break from post-position 12. That could hurt his chances. 

Midnight Bourbon won the Lecomte in gate-to-wire fashion. If no horse goes with Bourbon, the Steve Asmussen trained runner could pull off a front running score again. At 6/1, Midnight Bourbon deserves a long look.

Also consider Mandoulan at 9/2 odds to bounce back with a good effort. Proxy, the second-place finisher in the Lecomte, could be overlooked again. As you can tell, the 2021 Risen Star is a much deeper race than just Keepmeinmind. 

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