How to Bet Braves vs Cubs MLB Spread & Expert Pick.

How to Bet Braves vs Cubs MLB Spread & Expert Pick

Written by on June 27, 2019

As the mid-season break edges ever closer, it’s fun to look at the current MLB standing to see how things might shake out in the second half. Will the teams currently occupying the playoff spots still be there once the 162-game season comes to an end? It’s an almost impossible question to answer, at least until we see what type of moves are made at the trade deadline. There are going to be some teams who choose to stand pat and stay with the guys who got them where they are now, but there are also going to be some who go all in to try and build a team that will challenge for the World Series.

The Atlanta Braves and Chicago Cubs are currently occupying the top spot in their respective divisions, but you also get the sense that both of these teams will be active at the trade deadline. They will close out a 4-game series on Thursday afternoon, with the Braves holding a 2-1 lead. It is the Cubs who are favored by 1 ½, with the run total set at 10 ½.

How to Bet Braves vs Cubs MLB Spread & Expert Pick

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Why bet on the Atlanta Braves?

The Braves are coming into the final game of this series on a very good run of form, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They dropped the opening game of this series, but they have bounced back with consecutive wins at Wrigley, which is never an easy place to go and get any type of positive result. This has been a very nice little road trip for the Braves, as they have now won 4 of the 6 games played on it.

That run has taken them to 48-33 on the season, which has them up by 5 ½ games on the Philadelphia Phillies in the race for the NL East crown, which Atlanta won last year. On the road, the Braves have gone 24-16 SU and 21-19 ATS, which includes being 11-9 ATS as a road dog. With Mike Soroka out injured, Bryce Wilson (0-0, 8.312 ERA) will get the start.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 2.67
  • Hits: 4.51
  • Walks: 1.80
  • Strike Outs: 4.23

Defense

  • Runs: 2.38
  • Hits: 4.24
  • Walks: 1.87
  • Strike Outs: 4.24

Why bet on the Chicago Cubs?

The Chicago Cubs have been one of those teams that have been very tough to figure out this season. They got off to a rather miserable start, but they then hot a run of form that propelled them to the top of the NL Central. Of late, though, they have been hovering around the .500 mark.

With the back to back losses to the Braves in this series, they are now 4-6 SU in their last 10 games. Despite that poor run, they are still clinging to the lead in the division, where they are a game up on the Brewers. One thing that has remained consistent is their play at home, where they are 28-16 SU and 25-19 ATS. For the final game in the series, the Cubs will have Tyler Chatwood (3-1, 3.69 ERA) on the mound.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 2.47
  • Hits: 4.14
  • Walks: 1.91
  • Strike Outs: 4.40

Defense

  • Runs: 2.09
  • Hits: 4.02
  • Walks: 1.71
  • Strike Outs: 4.26

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Braves vs Cubs MLB Betting Trends

  • Braves are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Chicago
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games on the road
  • Cubs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the National League
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs’ last 5 games at home
  • Cubs are 22-11 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons
  • Braves are 48-33 against the money line in all games this season
  • Chatwood is 2-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.65 and a WHIP of 1.849

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Braves vs Cubs

While the Braves have looked very good over the last couple of games in this series, I am a little concerned about the pitching match-up in this one. This should be an opportunity for the Cubs to get the win and the series split.

Score: Atlanta Braves 5 – Chicago Cubs 4

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