Brewers vs Rockies NLDS Game 3 Lines & Expert Preview

Written by on October 5, 2018

Milwaukee heads to Colorado for NLDS Game 3, after beating them in Brewers territory on Friday night . Rockies starting pitcher German Marquez will attempt to outduel Milwaukee pitcher Wade Miley. Can Marquez get it done? Or, will Miley and the Brewers take down the Rockies on their own diamond? Check out our MLB odds analysis and a free pick for Brewers at Rockies!

Brewers vs Rockies NLDS Game 3 Lines & Expert Preview


Weather Forecast

  • Thunderstorm: 13°C/56°F
  • Humidity: 64%
  • Precipitation: 62%
  • Wind: * mph NNE
  • Cloud Cover: 75%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why the Milwaukee Brewers are a good bet on the money line?

Milwaukee pitcher Wade Miley is only 5-2 this season. He has started 16 games this, though. Even in games where Miley’s had to leave the mound early, the Brewers have won.

The Brewers are 12-4 straight up in Miley’s 16 starts this season. The Brewers have gone 8-2 in Miley’s last 10 starts. They won Miley’s final 7 starts. Miley could pitch horribly, and Milwaukee still could win.

Team Statistics

  • Runs/G: 4.63
  • BA: .252
  • OPS: .747
  • HR: 218
  • SB: 124
  • ERA: 3.73
  • WHIP: 1.24
  • KS: 1,428
  • Quality Starts: 51
  • Errors: 108

Why the Colorado Rockies are a good bet on the money line?

Although Rockies pitcher German Marquez lasted only 4.2 innings and allowed 2 earned runs off 5 hits versus the L.A. Dodgers on Oct. 1, he had ended the MLB Regular Season on a high note.

Marquez went 3-1 and the Rockies went 4-1 in his 5 starts in September. He threw at least 6 innings in all 5 starts. He also struck out 48 batters in a combined 33 innings pitched. If Marquez can return to his form in September, the Rockies have a shot to beat the Brewers.

Team Statistics

  • Runs/G: 4.79
  • BA: .256
  • OPS: .757
  • HR: 210
  • SB: 95
  • ERA: 4.33
  • WHIP: 1.31
  • KS: 1,049
  • Quality Starts: 84
  • Errors: 74

Brewers vs Rockies MLB Betting Trends for NLDS Game 3

  • Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games on the road
  • Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee’s last 14 games when playing Colorado
  • Colorado is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 games
  • Colorado is 10-4 SU in the last 14 games
  • The total went UNDER in 11 of Colorado’s last 14 games when playing Milwaukee

Final MLB Betting Analysis for Brewers vs Rockies

Miley and Marquez could get into a pitchers’ duel this Sunday. Miley’s ERA is an excellent 2.57 while Marquez’s ERA is at 3.77. In a pitchers’ duel, the Brewers should take it because their bullpen is better than Colorado’s.

The Rockies’ bullpen has a 4.60 ERA while the Brewers’ bullpen has a 3.47 ERA. But, the factor in Game 3 that evens things out for all teams is Coors Field. Great bullpens, just like great starting pitchers, have trouble throwing at Coors Field.

Coors Field favors hitters more than any other ballpark in MLB. On Sunday, it should favor the home team Rockies who have one of their top starters on the mound. Rockies take Game 3.

NLDS Game 3 Pick:  Colorado Rockies
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