Tigers vs Orioles MLB Betting Odds, Expert Analysis & Pick

Tigers vs Orioles MLB Betting Odds, Expert Analysis & Pick

Written by on May 29, 2019

When a season starts to go down the tubes quite quickly, it can be tough for a team to find any positives to draw on. This is one of the reasons why we see teams basically phone it in once it becomes clear that the basement of the division, and potentially the worst record in baseball, comes calling. One of the few positives that can be found in this type of circumstance is winning a series, which generally comes against a fellow struggler.

The Detroit Tigers and the Baltimore Orioles are both down among the worst teams in the league, so both would have come into this series looking for a win that might potentially deliver some good vibes. Perhaps not surprisingly, these two split the opening games of the series, with the rubber match coming on Wednesday night. Baltimore has home field advantage for the final game and are coming into this one favored by 1 ½. There hasn’t been a ton of offense in the opening 2 games, but the O/U for this game has been set at 10.

Tigers vs Orioles MLB Betting Odds, Expert Analysis & Pick

  • When: Wednesday, May 29 at 7:05 PM EST
  • Where: Camden Yards, Baltimore
  • TV: MASN2
  • Radio: Detroit / Baltimore
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • Starting Pitchers: Carpenter (DET) Vs Means (BAL)
  • MLB Odds: Orioles -1.5 (+145)

Why bet on the Detroit Tigers?

The Detroit Tigers finally hit the 20-win mark on the season with their 3-0 win over the Orioles in the second game of this series. Given that the Tigers have been bleeding runs all season long, seeing them pitch a shutout in that one was more than just a little surprising. Still, the Tigers have still bee brutal and are just 9-17 in their own ballpark this season.

The win on Tuesday was just their second win in the last 10 games, which is perhaps not that surprising for a team that has managed just 177 runs this year, leaving them dead last in runs scored in the American League. The Tigers have actually been a decent bet as a road dog this season, going 15-9 ATS in those games. Detroit will have Ryan Carpenter (0-2, 9.00 ERA) on the mound for this one.

Team Statistics

  • Runs: 3.40
  • Hits: 7.63
  • Walks: 2.88
  • Strike Outs: 9.85
  • Runs: 5.25
  • Hits: 8.96
  • Walks: 3.38
  • Strike Outs: 8.10

Why bet on the Baltimore Orioles?

Are the Orioles the best bet in the MLB odds?

If you need any idea of just how bad the Baltimore Orioles have been this season, you need only look at their run differential. They are the only team in the MLB to hit a triple-digit run differential, sitting at -109 right now. Overall, the Orioles are just 17-38 on the season and have managed to win a mere 7 games in their own ballpark.

There is not really very much to like about any aspect of this team, but it is perhaps their pitching and defense that is most glaringly poor, as they have now surrendered 333 runs on the season. Baltimore has only been in as a home favorite twice this season, failing to cover the spread in either of those games. John Means (5-4, 2.96 ERA) will get the start for the Orioles.

Team Statistics

  • Runs: 4.07
  • Hits: 8.22
  • Walks: 2.58
  • Strike Outs: 8.87
  • Runs: 6.05
  • Hits: 9.38
  • Walks: 3.65
  • Strike Outs: 7.67

Tigers vs Orioles MLB Betting Trends

  • Tigers are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of the Tigers’ last 6 games
  • Orioles are 2-9 SU in the last 11 games
  • The total wentOVER in 7 of the Orioles’ last 9 games

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction for Tigers vs Orioles

This game is a bit of a coin flip given how poor these two teams are, but I think it’s the Orioles who have the better of the pitching match-up here. Let’s take the O’s to win and cover.

Detroit Tigers 2 Baltimore Orioles 5

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