ALCS Game 1 Odds & Game Preview: Yankees vs. Astros.

ALCS Game 1 Odds & Game Preview: Yankees vs. Astros

Written by on October 12, 2017

After stunning the defending AL Champion Cleveland Indians in their thrilling five-game ALDS matchup, Aaron Judge and the upstart New York Yankees will look to fry an even bigger fish when they take on Jose Altuve and the Houston Astros in the 2017 American League Championship Series beginning on Friday night. The two World Series hopefuls will take to the diamond at Minute Maid Park at 8:00 PM with Houston as the ALCS Game 1 Odds favorite. The home team comes in at -190, and the total is set at 8.5.

ALCS Game 1 Odds & Game Preview: New York Yankees (95-73) at Houston Astros (104-62)

  • When: Friday, October 13, 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park
  • TV: FS1
  • Radio: 99.5 FM (New York) / 94.1 FM (Houston)
  • Live Stream:
  • ALCS Game 1 Odds: New York +160 / Houston Astros -190 (Over/Under at 8.5)

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 28°C/83°F
  • Humidity: 69%
  • Precipitation: 2%
  • Cloud Cover: 7%
  • Wind: 7 mph NNE
  • Stadium Type: Retractable


Starting Pitchers

New York – Sonny Gray – R – (10-12, 3.54 ERA, 153 K)Sonny Gray got touched up for three earned runs on three hits, including one home run in just 3.1 innings of New York’s 4-0 shutout loss to the Indians in Game 1 of the ALDS. Gray has been wildly inconsistent in allowing six earned runs against aga a Bay in 4.2 innings of his finalregular-seasonn start while allowing five earned runs in 4.0 innings of a 6-4 loss against Baltimore two starts prior to that one.Houston – Dallas Keuchel – L – (14-5, 2.90 ERA, 125 K)Dallas Keuchel (1-0, 1.59 ERA postseason) has not allowed more than two earned runs in each of his last four starts and handcuffed the Red Sox in Game 2 of the ALDS Game 2, by limiting Boston to one run on three hits while striking out seven in 5.2 innings of Houston’s 8-2 win on Oct. 6. The left-hander has a 0.96 ERA in three career postseason starts. Over his last 10 starts, Keuchel has limited the opposition to two earned runs or less eight times.

Why Bet on the New York Yankees?

After stunning Cleveland at home in Game 5, the Yankees are fired up for their ALCS matchup against Houston. “It’s going to be fun,” Judge said. “A new challenge. We’re excited for it.”The Yankees picked up a thrilling 5-2 win over the Indians on Wednesday night in Game 5 of their ALSDS and won the final three games after falling into a seemingly insurmountable 0-2 hole to start the series.Now, the Yankees will once again turn to their impressive lineup of hitters that includes sure-fire Rookie Year winner Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez and Game 5 hero Didi Gregorius. Still, the Yankees know they won’t be favored to beat a Houston team that won 101 games this season.“I don’t look at it as beating the odds,” said manager Joe Girardi. “We believed. Not everyone believed in us, because I don’t think people knew what you were going to get out of an Aaron Judge. I don’t think people knew what you would get out of Gary Sanchez or Luis Severino. We believed in our players. They’ve made a difference.”

Team Statistics

  • Runs: 5.28
  • Hits: 8.99
  • Walks: 3.82
  • Strike Outs: 8.66
  • Runs: 4.06
  • Hits: 7.64
  • Walks: 3.13
  • Strike Outs: 9.73

Why Bet on the Houston Astros?

Houston will tun to their stellar pitching staff and the talents of American League batting champion and likely MVP Jose Altuve, among others. Houston led the Majors this year in runs (896), batting average (.282), on-base percentage (.346), slugging percentage (.478) and was second in home runs (238) to, of all teams, the Yankees.The ALCS Game 1 Odds back the Houston Astros.“I’m really happy we have home field,” manager A.J. Hinch said. “It’s a tough challenge. Wild Card teams that win the Wild Card Game and win the Division Series have a lot of momentum.”But even without home field advantage, New York now believes they can beat anyone, despite what the ALCS Game 1 Odds says. “We have great momentum going,” Yankees shortstop Didi Gregorius said. “Everybody that gets this far is a good team.”

Team Statistics

  • Runs: 5.54
  • Hits: 9.83
  • Walks: 3.15
  • Strike Outs: 6.73
  • Runs: 4.33
  • Hits: 8.15
  • Walks: 3.22
  • Strike Outs: 9.80

Latest ALCS Game 1 Betting Trends

  • Yankees are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Yankees are 17-7 SU in their last 24 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’ last 5 games when playing Houston
  • Astros are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Astros are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston’s last 12 games

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

With the Yankees going 3-7 in their last 10 road games against a left-handed starter, 1-5 in their last 6 playoff road games and 2-5 in Sonny Gray’s last seven road starts, I’m going to urge you to back the Houston Astros ALCS Game 1 Odds to win.The impressive ‘Stros have gone 4-1 in their last five games against teams from the American League East while also going 25-9 in their last 34 games overall and a robust 19-7 in Dallas Keuchel’s last 26 starts. More important, they have the better and more complete pitching staff in this series and as always, good itching beats good hitting!Pick: New York Yankees 2 – Houston Astros 6
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