Lakers vs. Warriors Predictions: Game 4 for Western Conference Semifinals

Lakers vs. Warriors Predictions: Game 4 for Western Conference Semifinals

The Los Angeles Lakers dominated the Golden State Warriors in Game 3 of their Western Conference semifinal series, and LeBron James & Co. look for a 3-1 lead in Game 4 on Monday in Los Angeles. The Lakers are favored on the NBA odds.


Warriors vs. Lakers, Game 4 | 2023 NBA Expert Analysis


How to Bet Golden State at Los Angeles NBA Odds & TV Info

When: Monday, 10 PM ET
Where: Arena
Stream: TNT app
NBA Odds: Lakers -3.5 (total 227.5)


Why Bet on Golden State?

The Warriors managed just 97 points on Saturday in being routed by 30. The Warriors led by 11, 40-29, with 7:53 left in the second quarter before the Lakers used a 13-0 run to take a 42-40 lead with 4:42 remaining in the quarter. An 8-0 run to close the quarter gave the Lakers an 11-point halftime advantage, 59-48. Golden State scored first in the third quarter, but the Lakers used another 8-0 run for a 67-50 lead with 8:18 left in the quarter.

The Lakers outscored the Warriors, 41-29, in the fourth quarter, matching a Warriors opponent playoff record for the most points in the fourth quarter. Los Angeles’ largest lead of game was 34 points, 121-87, with 2:43 left in the fourth quarter.

Steph Curry had 23 points, four rebounds and three assists. Curry collected a playoff-high 12 assists in Game 2, and his work as a ball distributor and shooting decoy were instrumental in the 27 point victory. Curry dropped only three dimes in Game 3 and the entire team struggled as a result. He needs 21 points to tie Larry Bird (3,897) for 12th on the NBA Playoffs all-time points scored list.

Klay Thompson finished with only 15 on 5-of-14 shooting. Draymond Green had two points, two rebounds, four assists, a steal, a block and five fouls. Andrew Wiggins had 16 points and nine rebounds.

The Warriors trail the best-of-seven semifinals series against the Lakers, 2-1, the seventh time this has happened since 2015. Golden State has a 5-1 series record when trailing 2-1 since 2015. The lone loss came in the 2019 NBA Finals against Toronto. The Warriors have a 33-11 record (.750) after a playoff loss since 2013, the highest winning percentage in that span. Since 2015, the Warriors are 27-9 (.750) following a playoff loss.

The Warriors have won at least one road game in each of the last 28 playoff series, an NBA record streak that began as a No. 6 seed with a road victory in Denver in the First Round of the 2013 NBA Playoffs.

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MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


Why Bet on Los Angeles?

The Lakers took a 2-1 series lead and remained unbeaten at home with the 127-97 win in Game 3. Los Angeles shot 52.5 percent from the fi eld and held the Warriors to just 39.6 percent shooting in a game in which they led by as many as 34 points.

Anthony Davis did a bit of everything for L.A. with 25 points, 13 rebounds, three assists, three steals and four blocks. In odd-numbered games in their two playoff series, he has been spectacular. In Games 1, 3 and 5 against the Grizzlies and Game 1 against the Warriors, Davis averaged 28.5 points and 17.8 rebounds per game. However, in Games 2, 4 and 6 against the Grizzlies and Game 2 against the Warriors, he averaged 13 points and 10.3 rebounds.

LeBron James Game 3 with 21 points, eight rebounds, eight assists and one steal. D’Angelo Russell scored 21 points with three rebounds, five assists and one steal, while Austin Reaves pitched in 10 points, two rebounds, two assists and two steals. Dennis Schröder had 12 points off the bench, and Lonnie Walker IV returned to the rotation with 12 points, four rebounds, two steals and one block in 24 minutes.

The Lakers limited the Warriors to 39.6 percent (36-91 FG) shooting from the field, good for the fourth time this postseason the Lakers have held their opponent to under 40 percent shooting in a game. The biggest difference in the Lakers’ effectiveness was in their perimeter defense. After allowing the Warriors to make 42 3-pointers over the first two games — a record for the most 3s made over two games to open a series — Golden State shot 13-for-44 (29.5%) in Game 3.

“We’re one of the best defensive teams in the league, if not the best,” James said. “And in order for us to reach our potential, we have to defend at a high level. And there’s not one team in this league that tests you on that side more than Golden State.”

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MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


Game Trends

  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
  • Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
  • Warriors are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Expert Prediction

Lakers 113, Warriors 111


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