Rockets vs Warriors NBA Playoffs Game 5 Odds, Preview & Prediction

Written by on May 8, 2019

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets head into Game 5 with a lot at stake. After the Warriors took a 2-0 lead, Houston bounced back with 2 straight wins at home. Will Golden State regain the advantage? Or, will the Rockets grab it? Check out our NBA Playoff betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Houston-Golden State Game 5!

Rockets vs Warriors Game 5 2019 NBA Playoffs Odds

Why Houston Rockets are a good bet at +6?

Houston played well in the two losses at Golden State. They lost by only 4 in Game 1 even though James Harden shot 9-of-28 from the field. In Game 2, the Rockets lost by 6. Houston was good on 17-of-40 three-pointers for 42.5%.

Houston looked great in Game 4, a 112-108 win. If they take the momentum from Game 4 into this matchup, they’ll have a big shot at winning the game straight up.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 113.9
  • Field Goal %: 44.9
  • 3-Point %: 35.6
  • Free Throw %: 79.1
  • Rebounds/G: 42.1
Defense:
  • Points/G: 109.1
  • Field Goal %: 46.6
  • 3-Point %: 34
  • Free Throw %: 76.8
  • Rebounds/G: 445.4

Why Golden State Warriors are a good bet at -6?

Are the Warriors a safe NBA odds pick in Game 5 vs the Rockets?

Golden State could have taken a 3-0 series lead in Game 3. The Warriors rallied in the fourth quarter by outscoring Houston 28-21. In overtime, Houston outscored Golden State 14-9.

The Warriors made a similar rally in the fourth period in Game 4. Golden State’s been on the cusp of road wins in the last two games. Now at home, the Warriors should be very difficult to beat. They should also have a real shot at covering the spread.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 117.7
  • Field Goal %: 49.1
  • 3-Point %: 38.5
  • Free Throw %: 80.1
  • Rebounds/G: 46.2
Defense:
  • Points/G: 111.2
  • Field Goal %: 44.4
  • 3-Point %: 34.7
  • Free Throw %: 77.3
  • Rebounds/G: 44.3

NBA Playoffs Betting Trends for Rockets vs Warriors

  • Rockets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win
  • Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 day rest
  • Rockets are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss
  • Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinal games
  • Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning % above .600

Rockets vs Warriors Game 5 Final Analysis

If the four games in this series have taught us anything, it’s that these two NBA powerhouse squads are evenly matched. Golden State hasn’t blown out the Rockets in any of the four games. Houston hasn’t blown out the Warriors in any of the four games.

Game 4 could be a key matchup that tells us what might happen the rest of the way. The Warriors live and die behind the three-point line. They were dreadful from three in Game 4. They only made 8-of-33. The consensus thinking is that Golden State shoots much better from three at home.

That might not be the case, though. If the Rockets have figured out how to defend the Warriors’ three-point shooters in this matchup, they will have a shot at the upset victory. Houston and the points is the way to go.

NBA Playoffs Betting Pick: Rockets +6