Warriors vs Nets

Warriors vs Nets | 2020 -2021 NBA Expert Analysis

Written by on December 22, 2020

The 2020-21 NBA regular-season, which has been shortened to 72 games for each team (hopefully) due to a late start, tips off Tuesday night when Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors visit the Brooklyn Nets in Kevin Durant’s Nets debut. Brooklyn is a solid favorite on the NBA odds

How to Bet Warriors at Nets NBA Odds & TV Info

  • When: Tuesday, 7 PM ET
  • Where: Barclays Center
  • TV: TNT
  • Stream: TNT app
  • Radio:com
  • NBA Odds: Nets -7 (total 230.5)

Last Meeting

The teams played just once in the shortened 2019-20 regular season and Brooklyn rolled 129-88 at home – the Warriors had won eight straight in the series. It was the largest margin of defeat for the Nets ever over the Dubs. Their second meeting, scheduled for March 12, was supposed to be the first game in Warriors history played without fans in attendance, but the NBA cancelled the season on March 11.

Golden State leads all-time 54-36 and is 24-21 on the road vs. the Nets.

Why Bet on Golden State?

This will be the NBA regular-season debut of rookie No. 2 overall pick James Wiseman, who is among the NBA Rookie of the Year favorites at Mybookie. Wiseman got a late start to training camp after testing positive for COVID-19 but has been drawing raves otherwise. When he makes his NBA debut Tuesday against the Brooklyn Nets, it will be his first game in 13 months because he only played a few early-season games last year at the University of Memphis.

This will also be the Warriors debut of Kelly Oubre Jr. When Golden State learned that All-Star guard Klay Thompson had gone done with a season-ending injury last month, the team acted quickly to fill his spot with Oubre, who came over from the Oklahoma City Thunder in exchange for a 2021 first-round pick (top 20 protected) and a 2021 second-round pick (via Denver).

Oubre Jr. has improved every season, increasing his scoring average each season by over 2.0 points per game. He is among the six players that increased their scoring average over 2.0 points per game year-to-year four times in their first five seasons, the longest such streak in NBA history.

Superstar and two-time NBA MVP Steph Curry was limited to only five games last season due to injury but looked great this preseason. Curry has played (and started) in every season opener in his 11 seasons with the Warriors. Curry is averaging 20.5 points (.443 FG%, .305 3P%, .884 FT%), 5.1 rebounds, 5.8 assists and 1.82 steals in 33.2 minutes per game in those contests. His scoring high for a season opener is 40 points, scored on October 27, 2015 vs. New Orleans.

However, the Dubs will be without All-Star forward Draymond Green. He suffered a foot strain last week in a scrimmage. An MRI that came back clear, but Warriors coach Steve Kerr said the organization is being cautious at the beginning of the league’s condensed 72-game regular season and thus will surely sit Green Tuesday. With Green sidelined during the preseason, Kerr called on Eric Paschall for a spot in the starting lineup.

This is the first time the Warriors have started a season against an Eastern Conference team since the 2005-06 season, when they hosted the Atlanta Hawks on November 2, 2005. Golden State has a 33-41 (.446) record in season openers, including a 14-18 (.438) road record. The Warriors have won five of the last eight season openers. The Warriors have won the last two road season openers (2012 and 2014).

Why Bet on Brooklyn?

All eyes will be on Kevin Durant, who will make his Nets debut and play his first game that counts since he was a member of the Warriors in Game 5 of the 2019 NBA Finals vs. Toronto. KD tore his Achilles’ tendon and left that offseason in free agency for Brooklyn to team up with fellow All-Star Kyrie Irving.

During his tenure with Golden State, which spanned from 2016 to 2019, Durant won two Finals MVP trophies and two championships with the franchise. With Durant, the Warriors never missed the NBA Finals. Since training camp, Durant has maintained that he wasn’t ready to make any sweeping declarations on getting back to his pre-injury self.

On average, players returning from Achilles ruptures perform about 8% worse on a per-minute basis than would have been expected by statistical projections based on their performance over the past three seasons and the development of similar players at the same age. A handful of players, most notably Hall of Famer Dominique Wilkins and San Antonio Spurs veteran Rudy Gay, have actually beaten their pre-injury projections.

New Nets coach Steve Nash has said he does not want to “overburden” Durant on the defensive end of the floor: “I think right now, I think Kevin is capable of being an A-defender. But I don’t want to overburden him,” Nash said. “He does give us versatility; he’s so long, quick, and athletic that he can cover anyone on the floor. We’ve gotta give him time to get back on both ends.”

Durant’s debut on Tuesday will tip off a new Nets era, one that has been on hold since he, Irving, and DeAndre Jordan decided to come to Brooklyn in the summer of 2019. The Brooklyn roster features nine players who were regular starters last season, and obviously Durant would have been had he played.

Game Trends

  • Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
  • Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Nets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
  • Nets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Warriors are 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Brooklyn.
  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Expert Prediction

  • Nets 115, Warriors 112

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