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On Thursday, the Dallas Mavericks head to Utah to take on the Jazz in an important Game 3. Utah upset Dallas in Game 1. The Mavericks came back to win Game 2. Will Utah protect their home court? Or will the Mavericks secure a 2 games to 1 lead? Check out NBA Playoffs Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Utah Jazz versus Dallas Mavericks.

NBA Playoffs Western Conference Game Three – Mavericks at Utah Betting Analysis

NBA Western Conference Series – Game 3: Dallas Mavericks v Utah Jazz Match Info

When: Thursday, April 21 at 9:00 pm ET

Where: Vivint Smart Home Arena, Salt Lake City, UT

TV/Streaming: NBA TV

ATS Odds: Utah -7 ½

Moneyline Odds: Dallas +260 / Utah -320

Total Odds: O 210 ½ -110 / U 210 ½ -110

Why bet on Dallas versus Utah?

Luka Doncic didn’t play in the first game and Dallas lost by just 6 points, 99-93. Doncic didn’t play in the second game, either, but the Mavs managed a 110-104 victory. Although listed as questionable, Luka should play on Thursday. If he does, the Mavs will have a shot to win this straight up as well as cover the spread.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Averages

Points/G: 108.0

FG %: 46.1

3PT %: 35.0

FT %: 77.1

Rebounds/G: 43.0

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Averages

Points/G: 104.7

FG %: 45.7

3PT %: 34.0

FT %: 776.7

Rebounds/G: 43.6

Why bet on Utah versus Dallas?

Utah entered Dallas looking for a split, which is exactly what they got. The Jazz return to Vivint Smart Home Arena knowing they’ve got home court advantage. Utah should play better at home than they did in Dallas. Expect the Jazz to step it up on their court and in front of their fans. A cover victory is a real possibility.

Utah Jazz Offensive Averages

Points/G: 113.6

FG %: 47.1

3PT %: 336.0

FT %: 76.7

Rebounds/G: 46.3

Utah Jazz Defensive Averages

Points/G: 107.6

FG %: 45.3

3PT %: 35.0

FT %: 75.8

Rebounds/G: 41.6

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Trends

Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8
Dallas is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 as an underdog
Over is 6-1 in the Mavericks’ last 7
Jazz is 0-5 ATS im the last 5 head-to-head
Utah is 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 at home
Over is 4-1-1 in the Jazz last 6 at home

Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz Betting Analysis

Dallas is playing great basketball, but so is Utah, which is why this is one of the most difficult to handicap games so far during the NBA Playoffs. The Jazz played well in both games, but Doncic didn’t step onto the court in either.

At the odds, and if Doncic plays, Dallas looks like a lock to cover the spread. After all, the Jazz are 0-5 in the last head-to-head depending on the odds you got in the first game.

But Utah is the type of team that really steps it up on their court. Not only that, but Doncic, if he plays, could be a liability on the defensive end.

The Jazz took it easy in Game 2 after securing the Game 1 win. Utah won’t take it easy in Game 3. Also, there’s too much to think about when it comes to Doncic.

There’s nothing to think about when it comes to Utah. Expect Rudy Gobert to pick up his scoring. Jazz win and cover.

NBA Pick: Utah Jazz