NCAA National Championship Betting Prediction: San Diego State vs. UConn

The Connecticut Huskies take on the San Diego State Aztecs on Monday night with a shot to win yet another National Championship. UConn has rolled past their first five opponents at this year’s NCAA Men’s Mach Madness Tournament. On Monday, only the Aztecs stand in the way of UConn’s run to the title. Will SDSU step it up? Or will the Huskies win and cover? Check out odds, analysis, and free picks for the 2023 NCAA Mach Madness title game.

We will now preview the National Championship game plus our betting prediction for this contest. Keep reading for college basketball betting lines, analysis, and a free pick for San Diego State vs. UConn.


2023 NCAA National Championship Betting Prediction: San Diego State Aztecs vs. UConn Huskies

Odds: UConn -7.5 | San Diego State +265 / UConn -344 | O/U 150
When: Monday, April 3 at 9:20 pm ET
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
TV / Streaming: CBS/Paramount+


Why bet on San Diego State versus UConn?

Connecticut has rolled through their first five opponents at this year’s Big Dance, but the Huskies have yet to face a team that plays the type of defense SDSU plays.

San Diego State gave up 33 points to Creighton in the first half of their Elite Eight matchup. The Aztecs allowed the Blue Jays to score 23 in the second half. SDSU beat Creighton 57-56.

In their Final Four semifinal game, SDSU allowed Florida Atlantic to score 40 in the first half. Then in the second half, the Aztecs held FAU to 31 points in the 72-71 victory.

San Diego State Offensive Averages

  • Points/G: 72.9
  • FG %: 45.2
  • 3PT%: 36.3
  • FT %: 78.0
  • Rebounds/G: 32.4

San Diego State Defensive Averages

  • Points/G: 64.4
  • FG %: 42.1
  • 3PT%: 29.8
  • FT %: 74.3
  • Rebounds/G: 27.4

Why bet on UConn versus San Diego State?

SDSU plays great defense, no doubt, but so do the Huskies. In their Elite Eight victory over Gonzaga, the Huskies held one of the highest scoring teams in college hoops to 54 points.

Then against Miami in the Final Four, UConn dominated the Hurricanes, holding Miami to 24 first half points and 59 points all together. If SDSU wants to play a slow down, defensive game, UConn will oblige because the Huskies’ are just as good as the Aztecs’ at forcing their opponent to take bad shots.  

Connecticut Huskies Offensive Averages

  • Points/G: 79.0
  • FG %: 45.9
  • 3PT%: 35.6
  • FT %: 75.8
  • Rebounds/G: 36.1

Connecticut Huskies Defensive Averages

  • Points/G: 64.8
  • FG %: 40.8
  • 3PT%: 29.7
  • FT %: 73.6
  • Rebounds/G: 26.5

San Diego State Aztecs vs. UConn Huskies Betting Trends

  • Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games
  • San Diego State is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss
  • Under is 13-3 in the Aztecs’ last 16 games following a straight up win
  • Huskies are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games
  • UConn is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 at a neutral site
  • Under is 7-1 in the Huskies’ last 8 games following an ATS win

UConn vs. San Diego State Betting Odds and Prediction

We must applaud San Diego State for making it this far. The Aztecs upset 1-Alabama and 6-Creighton to make it to the Final Four.

Then versus Florida Atlantic, San Diego State Aztecs required a last second shot to get past the Owls. One look at how San Diego State has performed and it feels like they’re a team of destiny.

But on Monday night, SDSU faces one of the hottest teams in the history of the NCAA Touranment. Connecticut hasn’t beaten an opponent in their last five by less than 15 points.

In their last two games, the UConn Huskies have dusted Miami and Gonzaga by a combined average of more than 20 points. The Huskies not only have a great defense.

UConn can also score. So the Huskies have a significant edge against the Aztecs. The line feels high for a National Championship game. It’s not. UConn rolls past the spread.

NCAA Men’s College Basketball Title Pick: UConn Huskies -7.5 | Bet UConn vs. San Diego State Today
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