Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans 3/11/2021 Big Ten Tournament Betting Preview: Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds, Line, Spread and Trends

Written by on March 11, 2021

The No. 8 seed Maryland Terrapins (14-12) and the No. 9 seed Michigan State Spartans (15-11) will look to advance in the Big Ten tournament on Thursday as they meet in the quarterfinals of the conference tournament at 11:30 AM ET on BTN. Maryland is listed as a 1-point favorite to win this contest and advance closer to an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

Betting Information

Maryland vs Michigan State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Maryland -1 -104 -117 130.5 -110 -111 -111 -109

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Maryland vs Michigan State
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Maryland (-1) Over (130.5) Maryland 70 Michigan State 66

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Total Facts

  • The Terrapins and their opponents have scored more than 130.5 points in 53.8% of their games this season (14 of 26 opportunities).
  • Michigan State and its opponents have added up to score at least 130.5 points in 69.2% of their games this season (18 of 26 opportunities).
  • The two teams average a combined 6.7 more points per game (137.2) than this game’s total of 130.5 points.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 5.2 more points per game (135.7) than this game’s total of 130.5 points.
  • The average point total for Terrapins games this season is 2.2 more points than the total of 130.5 in this matchup.
  • The average total in Spartans games this year is 9.7 more points than the point total of 130.5 in this outing.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The 67.7 points the Terrapins record per game are just three fewer points than the Spartans surrender (70.7).
  • Maryland is 4-0 against the spread and 8-1 overall when scoring more than 70.7 points.
  • Michigan State is 5-11 against the spread and 7-9 overall when giving up more than 67.7 points.
  • The Spartans put up only 4.5 more points per game (69.5) than the Terrapins allow their opponents to score (65).
  • Michigan State has put together a 13-4 overall record and an 8-0 ATS record in games it scores more than 65 points.
  • Maryland’s record is 2-6 overall and 1-7 against the spread when it allows more than 69.5 points to its opponents.
  • The Terrapins have out-scored their opponents by a total of 71 points this season (2.7 points per game on average), and opponents of the Spartans have out-scored them by 30 more points on the year (1.2 per game).

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Maryland Betting Information

  • The Terrapins have struggled somewhat against the spread this season, posting a 10-15 record.
  • The Terrapins have posted a losing record of 5-7 against the spread when the spread is -1 or bigger.
  • Maryland has more often than not combined with its adversaries to fall short of the over, doing so 9 times in 25 contests (36%).

Michigan State Betting Information

  • Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in more than half of its games, going 9-17 ATS.
  • When they are at least 1-point underdogs, the Spartans have a record ATS of 3-11.
  • Michigan State has combined with its opponents to hit the over in 38.5% of matchups this year (10 out of 26 contests).

Head to Head

Maryland vs Michigan State (Last 4 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
2/28/2021 Maryland -2.5 134 -142 +119 Regular Season 73-55 MARY
2/29/2020 Maryland -3 138 -161 +129 Regular Season 78-66 MSU
2/15/2020 Michigan State -7 138 -335 +250 Regular Season 67-60 MARY
1/21/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 69-55 MSU

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Maryland Leaders

  • The Terrapins scoring leader is Eric Ayala, who averages 14.5 per contest to go with 4.0 rebounds and 2.2 assists.
  • Donta Scott leads the Terrapins in rebounding, averaging 6.4 per game, while Darryl Morsell leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 2.8 in each contest.
  • Ayala’s 1.9 threes per game leads the Terrapins.
  • Aaron Wiggins is Maryland’s leader in steals, averaging 1.1 steals per game, while Scott leads them in blocks with 0.8 per contest.

Michigan State Leaders

  • The Spartans’ Aaron Henry racks up enough points (15.5 per game) and assists (3.5 per game) to top the team’s leaderboards.
  • Joey Hauser is at the top of the Michigan State rebounding leaderboard with 5.9 rebounds per game. He also scores 9.9 points and adds 1.5 assists per game.
  • Gabe Brown’s 1.4 made threes per game lead the Spartans.
  • Henry (1.3 steals per game) is the steal leader for Michigan State while Marcus Bingham Jr. (1.3 blocks per game) is the block leader.
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