Memphis Tigers vs. UCF Knights: 3/12/2021 AAC Tournament Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds and Trends

Written by on March 12, 2021

The AAC conference tournament continues Friday as the No. 3 seed Memphis Tigers (15-7) face off against the No. 6 seed UCF Knights (11-11) at Dickies Arena, beginning at 10:00 PM ET on ESPNU. Memphis is a 6.5-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

Betting Information

Memphis vs UCF Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Memphis -6.5 -110 -110 135 -110 -110 -300 240

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Total Facts

  • The Tigers and their opponents have scored at least 135 points — this matchup’s over/under — in 10 of 22 games (45.5%) this season.
  • In 12 of 22 games (54.5%) this season, UCF has combined with its opponents to score more than 135 points.
  • The Tigers and the Knights combine to average 4.6 more points per game than the over/under of 135 set for this game.
  • The Tigers and the Knights have seen their opponents average a combined 3.3 fewer points per game than the over/under of 135 set in this outing.
  • The average over/under the Tigers have had set in games this season is 0.6 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
  • The average point total for the Knights this year is 1.9 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The Tigers average just 2.7 more points per game (72.1) than the Knights allow (69.4).
  • When Memphis totals more than 69.4 points, it is 9-0 against the spread and 12-1 overall.
  • UCF is 3-5 against the spread and 2-6 overall when allowing more than 72.1 points.
  • The Knights put up 5.2 more points per game (67.5) than the Tigers allow their opponents to score (62.3).
  • UCF is 12-0 against the spread and 10-4 overall when it scores more than 62.3 points.
  • Memphis has a 5-3 record overall and an ATS record of 3-4 in games when its opponents put up more than 67.5 points.
  • The Tigers have totaled 215 more points than their opponents this season (9.8 per game on average), while the Knights have been out-scored by 43 total points (1.9 per game average differential).


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Memphis Betting Information

  • Memphis has been good against the spread this season, posting a 12-9 record.
  • When favored by at least 6.5 points, the Tigers have compiled a 6-6 record ATS.
  • The Tigers have typically run under the total this season, reaching the over/under in 4 of 21 games (19%).

UCF Betting Information

  • UCF has a 13-9 record against the spread, covering in 59.1% of their games.
  • In the majority of Knights games this season, the teams have combined to hit the over (11 out of 22 games, 50%).

Head to Head

Memphis vs UCF (Last 5 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
2/3/2021 Memphis -11 137.5 -704 +493 Regular Season 75-61 MEM
2/1/2021 Memphis -9 134 -461 +355 Regular Season 96-69 MEM
1/29/2020 Memphis -2 139 -137 +113 Regular Season 59-57 MEM
2/16/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 79-72 UCF
1/27/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 77-57 MEM

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Memphis Leaders

  • The Tigers scoring leader is Landers Nolley II, who averages 13.1 per contest to go with 3.6 rebounds and 1.7 assists.
  • Moussa Cisse leads Memphis in rebounding, averaging 6.9 per game, while Alex Lomax leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 4.4 in each contest.
  • Nolley leads the Tigers in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.3 shots per game from beyond the arc.
  • DeAndre Williams and Cisse lead Memphis on the defensive end, with Williams leading the team in steals averaging 2.1 per game and Cisse in blocks averaging 1.9 per contest.

UCF Leaders

  • Darius Perry racks up 14.7 points and adds 3.3 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Knights’ leaderboards for those statistics.
  • C.J. Walker grabs 5.0 rebounds per game (he also scores 7.0 points per game and adds 1.0 assist per game) which puts him at the top of the UCF rebounding leaderboard.
  • Darin Green Jr. is the top shooter from the three-point line for the Knights, hitting 2.4 threes per game.
  • Perry (1.3 steals per game) is the steal leader for UCF while Walker (1.7 blocks per game) is the block leader.
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