Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans: 3/4/2021 Betting Trends, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds, Line and Preview

Written by on March 4, 2021

Aaron Henry leads the Michigan State Spartans (14-10) into a matchup with the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (18-2) after putting up 22 points in a 64-58 win over Indiana. The Wolverines are 12.5-point favorites in the game on Thursday, March 4, 2021, which tips off at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN. The matchup’s point total is set at 139.5.

Betting Information

Michigan vs Michigan State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Michigan -12.5 -110 -110 139.5 -109 -112 -1000 630

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Total Facts

  • In nine of 20 opportunities (45%) this season, the Wolverines and their opponents have combined for this matchup’s over/under of 139.5 points.
  • Michigan State and its opponents have added up to score more than 139.5 points in 62.5% of their games this year (15 of 24 opportunities).
  • The Wolverines and the Spartans combine to average 8.4 more points per game than the over/under of 139.5 set for this game.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 136.8 points per game, 2.7 less than the point total for this matchup.
  • The average point total for Wolverines games this year is 3.8 more points than the over/under of 139.5 in this matchup.
  • The average over/under in Spartans games this year is 1.8 more points than the point total of 139.5 for this outing.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The Wolverines average 77.6 points per game, 6.6 more points than the 71 the Spartans allow.
  • When Michigan puts up more than 71 points, it is 15-0 overall and 13-0 against the spread.
  • Michigan State is 1-6 against the spread and 1-6 overall when giving up more than 77.6 points.
  • The Spartans score only 4.5 more points per game (70.3) than the Wolverines allow (65.8).
  • When it scores more than 65.8 points, Michigan State is 7-0 against the spread and 12-2 overall.
  • Michigan’s record is 5-2 overall and 4-3 against the spread when it gives up more than 70.3 points to its opponents.
  • The Wolverines have scored a total of 236 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 11.8 per game), while the Spartans have been out-scored by opponents on average this year (by 17 total points, -0.7 per game).

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Michigan Betting Information

  • Strong against the spread this season, the Wolverines have covered 15 times in 20 contests.
  • When favored by at least 12.5 points, the Wolverines have fared well against the spread, compiling a 4-1 record.
  • The Wolverines have typically run under the total this season, reaching the over/under in 8 of 20 games (40%).

Michigan State Betting Information

  • The Spartans have a losing record against the spread, going 8-16 ATS (covering only 33.3% of the time).
  • When they are at least 12.5-point underdogs, the Spartans have not fared well, going 0-5 against the spread.
  • In most of Spartans games this season, the teams have not hit the over (10 out of 24 games, 41.7%).

Head to Head

Michigan vs Michigan State (Last 4 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
2/8/2020 Michigan State -2 142.5 N/A N/A Regular Season 77-68 MICH
1/5/2020 Michigan State -9 145 -478 +346 Regular Season 87-69 MSU
3/9/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 75-63 MSU
2/24/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 77-70 MSU

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Michigan Leaders

  • The scoring and rebounding leader for the Wolverines is Hunter Dickinson, who averages 14.4 points and 7.7 rebounds per game.
  • Mike Smith is Michigan’s best passer, dispensing 5.0 assists per game while scoring 8.6 PPG.
  • Isaiah Livers contributes the most three-point shooting production for the Wolverines. He knocks down 2.4 threes per game.
  • Franz Wagner is the Wolverines leader in steals, averaging 1.4 steals per game, while Dickinson leads them in blocks with 1.6 per contest.

Michigan State Leaders

  • Henry averages 15.4 points and adds 3.6 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Spartans’ leaderboards in those statistics.
  • Joey Hauser’s stat line of 6.0 rebounds, 10.0 points and 1.5 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Michigan State rebounding leaderboard.
  • Gabe Brown is the most prolific from distance for the Spartans, hitting 1.6 threes per game.
  • The Spartans’ leader in steals is Henry with 1.3 per game, and Marcus Bingham Jr. is their leader in blocks with 1.4 per game.
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