Notre Dame vs Northeastern Round of 64 Game Odds Report

Notre Dame vs Northeastern Round of 64 Game Report

Written by on March 19, 2015

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish, winners of the prestigious ACC title and this year’s No. 3 seed in the Midwest region, will be playing against the Colonial Athletic Association champions, the Northeastern Huskies (No. 14 seed), in a Round of 64 college basketball betting matchup this Thursday. Expectedly, the Irish are placed as comfortable favorites to win this game, but this being the month of March Madness betting, anything can always happen on NCAAB odds! Here is a sweeping look at the Irish-Huskies game, including well-founded free March Madness picks for bettors looking to wager on this matchup.

Notre Dame vs. Northeastern NCAA Hoops Betting Preview and Game Analysis

Venue: Consol Energy Center- Pittsburgh, PennsylvaniavDate: Thursday, March 19, 2015
Time: 12:15 PM ET
Opening Line: Notre Dame -12

Why bet on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish

— USA TODAY Sports (@USATODAYsports) March 18, 2015

Led by ACC Tournament MVP Jerian Grant (team-bests of 16.8 PPG and 7 APG), Notre Dame boasts of a solid offensive unit that is averaging 78.8 PPG. This offense is complemented by the industrious services of Pat Connaughton (team-best 7.4 RPG), together with forward Zach Auguste and guard Demetrius Jackson, who both bring 11 PPG apiece.

Defensively, the Irish (29-5 overall, 14-4 ACC) are allowing 65.6 PPG, which is commendably decent, bearing in mind how most teams in the ACC have robust offensive units. Unfortunately for coach Mike Brey’s boys, the team is grabbing just 32 rebounds per game. Whereas that would be good enough to help them outrebound most average teams, it could prove to be a problem against the Huskies, who are limiting their opponents to 28 rebounds per game. Northeastern’s Scott Eatherton, Quincy Ford and Zach Stahl are all averaging over five boards per game, with the team’s two other starting guards grabbing over three boards per game. With such a strong rebounding game, Notre Dame’s guards will need to put in more work if they are to keep the Huskies contained.

Why Bet on The Northeastern Huskies

Offensively, Eatherton leads Northeastern (23-11 overall, 12-6 Colonial Athletic) in scoring and rebounds at 14.6 PPG and 6.4 RPG, Ford chips in with close to 15 PPG, while David Walker leads the team in assists with 3.5 APG. Still, it’s not going to be easy for Northeastern to win the Pittsburgh Tournament if they simply hit around their 68.6 PPG scoring. To have a good opportunity of upsetting the Irish, Ford and Co. will need to better their output, with Northeastern’s defense (which is allowing 65 PPG), also making a good number of big plays.

Key Betting Trends

• Notre Dame was 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
• Northeastern was 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in its last 10 games
• Northeastern 8-1 ATS as double-digit dog since 2012
• Northeastern 5-2 ATS past seven games as underdogs
• Notre Dame ended the season on a 7-1 ATS run, while Northeastern finished on 5-2 ATS run
• CAA teams are 3-0 SU in the last 3 games against ACC opposition in the NCAA Tournament (George Mason beating UNC in 2006, VCU beating Duke in 2007, and VCU beating Florida in 2011)
• No. 3 seeds are 19-11 ATS against No. 14 seeds since 2007
• The Irish have lost four of their last six opening games, and are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine tournament contests
• The Huskies haven’t been in the NCAA Tournament since 1991
• The OVER/UNDER is 14-9 for Northeastern and 13-11 for Notre Dame this season

My Writer’s Prediction and Pick

Though recent SU history favors CAA teams over ACC teams in the Big Dance, the ATS trends favor No. 3 seeds. Going by Notre Dame’s immense talent advantage over Northeastern, particularly in the offense, Notre Dame should be able to claim the win here, but the Huskies are likely to hang on to cover the spread. I don’t expect a highly-scoring affair, based on the quality of both defenses, but both teams should still be able to combine for an OVER total this Thursday.