SMU Mustangs vs. UCF Knights: 1/23/2021 Matchup Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds and Trends

Written by on January 23, 2021

The UCF Knights (3-5) are 4-point underdogs as they look to stop a four-game losing streak when they host the SMU Mustangs (7-2) on Saturday, January 23, 2021 at CFE Arena. The contest airs at 2:00 PM ET on ESPNU. The over/under is set at 139 in the matchup.

Betting Information

SMU vs UCF Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
SMU -4 -113 -109 139 -108 -113 -187 152

Computer Picks

Computer picks for SMU vs UCF
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
UCF (+4) Over (139) SMU 70 UCF 69

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Total Facts

  • The Mustangs and their opponents have put up more than 139 points in 66.7% of their games this year (six of nine opportunities).
  • UCF and its opponents have added up to score at least 139 points in 25% of their games this season (two of eight chances).
  • The two teams average a combined four more points per game (143) than this game’s total of 139 points.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.5 fewer points per game (135.5) than this matchup’s total of 139 points.
  • The average point total for Mustangs games this year is 7.3 more points than the over/under of 139 in this matchup.
  • The average total for Knights games this season is 6.9 fewer points than the point total of 139 for this outing.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The 79.2 points per game the Mustangs average are 10.8 more points than the Knights give up (68.4).
  • When SMU puts up more than 68.4 points, it is 3-0-1 against the spread and 6-1 overall.
  • In games UCF gives up more than 79.2 points, it is 0-1 against the spread and 0-1 overall.
  • The Knights score an average of 63.8 points per game, only 3.3 fewer points than the 67.1 the Mustangs allow to opponents.
  • When it scores more than 67.1 points, UCF is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall.
  • SMU’s record is 2-3-1 against the spread and 5-2 overall when it gives up more than 63.8 points.
  • The Mustangs have totaled 109 more points than their opponents this season (12.1 per game on average), while the Knights have been out-scored by 37 total points (4.6 per game average differential).

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SMU Betting Information

  • The Mustangs have been strong against the spread this season, earning a 4-3-1 record.
  • When favored by at least 4 points, the Mustangs have fared well against the spread, putting up a 3-2-1 record.
  • In 5 of 8 (62.5%) contests this season, SMU and its opponents have hit the over.

UCF Betting Information

  • UCF has failed to cover the spread in more than half of its outings, going 3-5 ATS.
  • In the majority of UCF’s games this year, the teams have not hit the over (3 out of 8 games, 37.5%).

Head to Head

SMU vs UCF (Last 4 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
3/4/2020 SMU -1 138.5 -117 -106 Regular Season 61-58 UCF
1/8/2020 SMU -7 136.5 -335 +256 Regular Season 81-74 SMU
2/24/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 95-48 UCF
2/10/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 71-65 UCF

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SMU Leaders

  • Kendric Davis leads the Mustangs in points and assists per game, scoring 19.1 points and distributing 7.7 assists.
  • Feron Hunt leads the Mustangs in rebounding, pulling down 8.7 boards per game while also scoring 12.3 points a contest.
  • Emmanuel Bandoumel’s 2.0 made threes per game lead the Mustangs.
  • The SMU steals leader is Davis, who averages 1.7 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Yor Anei, who compiles 2.6 rejections per contest.

UCF Leaders

  • Dre Fuller Jr. racks up 5.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, placing him at the top of the Knights’ rebound and assists leaderboards.
  • Brandon Mahan scores 14.9 points per game, putting him at the top of the UCF scoring leaderboard. He also grabs 5.4 rebounds and averages 2.0 assists per game.
  • Darin Green Jr. is consistent from three-point range and leads the Knights with 2.4 made threes per game.
  • Isaiah Adams (1.7 steals per game) is the steal leader for UCF while C.J. Walker (1.8 blocks per game) is the block leader.
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