Southern Jaguars vs. Grambling Tigers: 3/11/2021 SWAC Tournament Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds and Trends

Written by on March 11, 2021

The No. 5 seed Southern Jaguars (8-10) are favored by 2 points when they play the No. 4 seed Grambling Tigers (11-11) in the SWAC Tournament quarterfinals Thursday at Bartow Arena, tipping off at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN3. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the SWAC championship.

Betting Information

Southern vs Grambling Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Southern -2 -110 -110 138 -110 -110 -139 115

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Southern vs Grambling
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Grambling (+2) Over (138) Southern 70 Grambling 69

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Total Facts

  • The Jaguars and their opponents have scored no less than 138 points — this matchup’s over/under — in nine of 18 opportunities (50%) this season.
  • Grambling has played in 11 games this year (out of 22 total matchups — 50% of opportunities) where they combined with their opponents to score more than 138 points.
  • These two teams average a combined 137.4 points per game, 0.6 less points than the total of 138 set for this matchup.
  • The Jaguars and the Tigers have seen their opponents average a combined 0.7 more points per game than the over/under of 138 set in this matchup.
  • The Jaguars average point total in outings this year is 140.2, 2.2 points higher than the over/under in this game.
  • Tigers games this year have averaged an over/under of 135.9 points, 2.1 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The Jaguars average 70 points per contest, only 1.5 more points than the 68.5 the Tigers allow their opponents.
  • When Southern puts up more than 68.5 points, it is 6-0 against the spread and 7-4 overall.
  • Grambling has compiled a 4-7 record against the spread and a 5-6 record overall in games when it allows more than 70 points.
  • The Tigers average just 2.8 fewer points than the Jaguars allow their opponents to score (70.2).
  • Grambling is 8-1 overall and 6-0 against the spread in games it scores more than 70.2 points.
  • Southern is 2-7 against the spread and 2-8 overall when it allows its opponents to score more than 67.4 points.
  • The Jaguars have been out-scored by three points this season (0.2 points per game on average), and opponents of the Tigers have out-scored them by 25 more points on the year (1.1 per game).

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Southern Betting Information

  • The Jaguars have struggled a bit against the spread this season, posting a 7-10 record.
  • The Jaguars have posted a losing record of 5-7 against the spread when the spread is -2 or higher.
  • Southern and its opponents have reached the over 8 times in 17 contests this season.

Grambling Betting Information

  • Grambling has a losing record against the spread, going 10-11 ATS (covering only 47.6% of the time).
  • When they are at least 2-point underdogs, the Tigers have not fared well, going 3-6 against the spread.
  • In most of Tigers games this year, the teams have combined to hit the over (12 out of 21 games, 57.1%).

Head to Head

Southern vs Grambling (Last 6 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
2/6/2021 Southern -6.5 136 -294 +235 Regular Season 72-69 GRMBST
1/9/2021 Grambling -1.5 135.5 -126 +104 Regular Season 61-55 SOUTH
2/8/2020 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 66-62 GRMBST
1/11/2020 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 61-56 GRMBST
2/9/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 59-40 GRMBST
1/12/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 69-63 GRMBST

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Southern Leaders

  • The scoring leader for the Jaguars this season is Samkelo Cele, who averages 11.8 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 0.6 assists per game.
  • Harrison Henderson is the Jaguars leading rebounder, pulling down 6.3 per game, while Jayden Saddler is their best passer, averaging 5.3 assists in each contest.
  • Cele makes more threes per game than any other member of the Jaguars, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.6 per contest.
  • Saddler and Andre Allen lead Southern on the defensive end, with Saddler leading the team in steals averaging 1.6 per game and Allen in blocks averaging 0.4 per contest.

Grambling Leaders

  • Cameron Christon is at the top of the Tigers scoring leaderboard with 13.0 points per game. He also grabs 5.0 rebounds and dishes out 1.3 assists per game.
  • Grambling’s leader in rebounds is Terreon Randolph with 5.7 per game, and its leader in assists is Trevell Cunningham with 5.2 per game.
  • Christon’s 1.7 made threes per game lead the Tigers.
  • Randolph is at the top of the Grambling steals and blocks leaderboards with 1.7 steals per game and 0.7 blocks per game.
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