Toledo Rockets vs. Ball State Cardinals: 3/11/2021 MAC Tournament Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds and Trends

Written by on March 11, 2021

The No. 1 seed Toledo Rockets (20-7) and the No. 8 seed Ball State Cardinals (10-12) meet in the MAC Tournament quarterfinals Thursday at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, starting at 11:00 AM ET on ESPN+. Toledo is favored by 8 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

Betting Information

Toledo vs Ball State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Toledo -8 -111 -110 155 -110 -112 -390 299

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Toledo vs Ball State
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Ball State (+8) Under (155) Toledo 79 Ball State 71

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Total Facts

  • In 14 of 27 outings (51.9%) this season, the Rockets and their opponents have combined for this matchup’s over/under of 155 points.
  • Ball State has combined with its opponents to score more than 155 points in seven of 22 outings (31.8%) this year.
  • The two teams average a combined 0.4 more points per game (155.4) than this game’s total of 155 points.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 8.8 less points per game (146.2) than this matchup’s over/under of 155 points.
  • The Rockets average point total in outings this season is 152.7, 2.3 points less than the total in this game.
  • The average total for Cardinals games this season is 6.1 fewer points than the point total of 155 in this outing.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The Rockets score 6.5 more points per game (81.3) than the Cardinals allow (74.8).
  • Toledo has a 16-3 record overall and a 14-0 record against the spread when scoring more than 74.8 points.
  • When Ball State allows more than 81.3 points, it is 0-6 against the spread and 1-5 overall.
  • The Cardinals put up an average of 74.1 points per game, only 2.7 more points than the 71.4 the Rockets give up to opponents.
  • In games when it puts up more than 71.4 points, Ball State is 8-0 against the spread and 9-3 overall.
  • Toledo has an ATS record of 7-5 and a 6-6 record overall when its opponents score more than 74.1 points.
  • The Rockets have out-scored their opponents by a total of 269 points this season (9.9 points per game on average), and opponents of the Cardinals have out-scored them by just 15 more points on the year (0.7 per game).

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Toledo Betting Information

  • Strong against the spread this season, the Rockets have covered 18 times in 26 contests.
  • When favored by at least 8 points, the Rockets have fared well against the spread, compiling a 9-4 record.
  • The Rockets and their opponents have gone over the total in 15 of 26 games (57.7%) this season.

Ball State Betting Information

  • The Cardinals have a losing record against the spread, going 8-14 ATS (covering just 36.4% of the time).
  • When they are at least 8-point underdogs, the Cardinals have a record ATS of 1-1.
  • Ball State has combined with its opponents to hit the over in 72.7% of matchups this year (16 out of 22 opportunities).

Head to Head

Toledo vs Ball State (Last 6 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
3/5/2021 Toledo -9.5 155.5 -481 +361 Regular Season 89-70 TOLEDO
2/6/2021 Toledo -8.5 149 -417 +321 Regular Season 81-67 BALLST
2/29/2020 Toledo -2 136 -137 +111 Regular Season 69-63 TOLEDO
1/3/2020 Ball State -1.5 136.5 -126 +104 Regular Season 61-57 BALLST
2/26/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 80-72 TOLEDO
1/4/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 79-64 BALLST

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Toledo Leaders

  • The Rockets leader in points and assists is Marreon Jackson, who puts up 17.6 points per game along with 6.1 assists.
  • Setric Millner Jr. leads the Rockets in rebounding, pulling down 6.5 rebounds per game while also scoring 12.4 points a contest.
  • Spencer Littleson’s 3.6 threes per game leads the Rockets.
  • Jackson is Toledo’s leader in steals, averaging 1.9 steals per game, while JT Shumate leads them in blocks with 1.3 per contest.

Ball State Leaders

  • Ishmael El-Amin is the top scorer for the Cardinals with 16.3 points per game. He also adds 3.0 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game to his statistics.
  • Ball State’s leader in rebounds is Brachen Hazen with 5.7 per game, and its leader in assists is Jarron Coleman with 3.5 per game.
  • Coleman hits more threes per game than any other member of the Cardinals, knocking down shots from deep at a clip of 2.3 per contest.
  • The Cardinals’ leader in steals is El-Amin with 1.4 per game, and Blake Huggins is their leader in blocks with 0.6 per game.
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