UC Davis Aggies vs. Cal Poly Mustangs: 2/26/2021 Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds, Line, Spread and Betting Trends

Written by on February 26, 2021

The UC Davis Aggies (6-6) visit the Cal Poly Mustangs (3-15) as 7-point favorites after Elijah Pepper racked up 32 points in the Aggies 78-76 victory over Long Beach State. The matchup is at 5:00 PM ET on Friday, February 26, 2021. The matchup has an over/under of 136.

Betting Information

UC Davis vs Cal Poly Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
UC Davis -7 -110 -110 136 -112 -109 -333 255

Computer Picks

Computer picks for UC Davis vs Cal Poly
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Cal Poly (+7) Over (136) UC Davis 73 Cal Poly 68

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Total Facts

  • The Aggies and their opponents have combined to score more than 136 points in 66.7% of their games this year (eight of 12 opportunities).
  • In nine of 18 outings (50%) this year, Cal Poly has combined with its opponents to score more than 136 points.
  • These two teams average a combined 136.4 points per game, 0.4 more points than the over/under of 136 set for this game.
  • Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 146 points per game, 10 more than the point total for this game.
  • The average point total for Aggies games this year is 13.9 more points than the over/under of 136 in this matchup.
  • Mustangs games this season have averaged a total of 132.5 points, 3.5 less than the point total in this matchup.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The Aggies average only 3.9 more points per game (75.2) than the Mustangs give up (71.3).
  • UC Davis has a 4-3 record overall and a 3-0 record against the spread when putting up more than 71.3 points.
  • Cal Poly has a 2-2 record against the spread and a 0-6 record overall when giving up more than 75.2 points.
  • The Mustangs score 13.5 fewer points per game (61.2) than the Aggies allow (74.7).
  • When it scores more than 74.7 points, Cal Poly is 2-0 against the spread and 3-0 overall.
  • UC Davis’ record is 5-6 overall and 4-6 against the spread when it gives up more than 61.2 points to its opponents.
  • The Aggies have scored only seven more points than their opponents this year (an average of 0.5 per game), while the Mustangs have been out-scored by opponents on average this year (by 183 total points, -10.1 per game).

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UC Davis Betting Information

  • UC Davis has covered in just five of 11 matchups this season.
  • The Aggies have posted an even record of 1-1 against the spread when the spread is -7 or bigger.
  • The Aggies and their opponents have gone over the total in 6 of 11 games (54.5%) this season.

Cal Poly Betting Information

  • Cal Poly has a losing record against the spread, going 6-9 ATS (covering only 40% of the time).
  • In most of Mustangs games this season, the teams have not hit the over (4 out of 15 games, 26.7%).

Head to Head

UC Davis vs Cal Poly (Last 2 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
2/20/2020 UC Davis -3 142.5 -160 +130 Regular Season 77-62 UCDV
2/1/2020 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 66-51 UCDV

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UC Davis Leaders

  • The Aggies leader in points and assists is Ezra Manjon, who puts up 15.8 points per game along with 3.5 assists.
  • Kennedy Koehler is UC Davis’ best rebounder, pulling down an average of 5.3 boards in each contest while scoring 8.3 points per game.
  • Pepper leads his teammates on the Aggies with 2.0 made threes per outing.
  • Pepper is UC Davis’ leader in steals, averaging 2.3 steals per game, while Koehler leads them in blocks with 0.8 per contest.

Cal Poly Leaders

  • Alimamy Koroma has the top spot on the Mustangs leaderboards for scoring and rebounding with 13.3 points and 5.5 rebounds per game.
  • Cal Poly’s assist leader is Keith Smith with 3.8 per game. He also scores 5.4 points per game and tacks on 2.8 rebounds per game.
  • Mark Crowe hits more threes per game than any of his teammates on the Mustangs, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a rate of 2.1 per game.
  • Smith (1.4 steals per game) is the steal leader for Cal Poly while Koroma (0.9 blocks per game) is the block leader.
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