Two teams hoping to end their college football seasons on a great note step onto the field at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas on Tuesday for the 2021 SERVPRO First Responder Bowl. The Air Force Falcons bring the most feared rushing attack in the nation to their bowl game against the Louisville Cardinals. Will the Cardinals stop the Falcons from running all over them? Can Louisville end their season with a bowl victory? Keep reading for College Football Bowl odds, analysis, and a free pick for Air Force versus Louisville.
NCAAF Betting Analysis for Air Force Falcons Vs Louisville Cardinals
SERVPRO First Responder Bowl Odds | Air Force vs Louisville
- When: Tuesday, Dec. 28 at 3:15 pm ET
- Where: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX
- TV / Streaming: ESPN/ ESPN+
- ATS Odds: Louisville -1 ½
- Moneyline Odds: Louisville -125 / Air Force +105
- Over/Under Odds: 59
Why bet on Air Force versus Louisville?
Air Force sends the most devastating rushing attack in college football to the field. The Falcons average a ridiculous 341.5 rushing yards per game. When the rushing attack gets going, Air Force is close to impossible to stop. Not only that, but the Falcons’ defense allows just 288.8 yards per, meaning Air Force not only controls the clock and scores touchdowns, but the defense stops opponents from keeping up.
Air Force Falcons Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 424.0
- Passing Yards: 52.5
- Rushing Yards: 341.5
- Points Scored: 31.0
- Takeaways: 5
Air Force Falcons Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 288.8
- Passing Yards: 193.3
- Rushing Yards: 95.6
- Points Scored: 19.1
- Takeaways: 8
Why bet on Louisville versus Air Force?
The Cardinals have a balanced offensive attack. Louisville averages 238.9 passing and 211.8 rushing yards per game. If Air Force’s defense concentrates on stopping the rush, Louisville will pass the ball. If Air Force takes a man out of the box, the Cardinals will rush it. Louisville has flexibility on offense, which gives them an edge.
Louisville Cardinals Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 450.7
- Passing Yards: 238.9
- Rushing Yards: 211.8
- Points Scored: 31.9
- Turnovers: 7
Louisville Cardinals Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 402.5
- Passing Yards: 245.5
- Rushing Yards: 157.1
- Points Scored: 27.0
- Takeaways: 10
Relevant Trends for Air Force Falcons vs Louisville Cardinals
- Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win
- Air Force is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games
- Under is 4-1 in the Falcons’ last 5 games as an underdog
- Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games
- Louisville is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite
- Under is 5-1 in the Cardinals’ last 6 bowl games
SERVPRO First Responder Bowl Final Betting Prediction
Air Force’s rushing attack is scary effective. The Falcons often run opponents into the ground. But although Air Force has a terrific running game, the Louisville Cardinals have had plenty of time to prepare for it.
The teams that hung with Air Force, or beat them outright, did so by daring the Falcons to throw the football. Expect Louisville head coach Scott Satterfield to employ a similar strategy.
But even if Satterfield stops Air Force from rushing the football as well as they normally do, the Falcons can throw. Air Force averages over 9 yards per pass completion, which means Louisville’s defense, which gave up over 500 yards to Kentucky, could be in some trouble.
Louisville quarterback Malik Cunningham will try to keep the Cardinals in this. But Air Force has the better defense. Falcons win.
SERVPRO First Responder Bowl Pick: Air Force Falcons