Purdue vs #2 Iowa NCAAF

Purdue vs #2 Iowa | NCAAF Game Preview and Betting Odd

Off a huge home comeback win over Penn State, new national No. 2 Iowa could be on major trap game alert in Big Ten action Saturday when the Hawkeyes host Purdue in a rivalry game. Iowa is a double-digit favorite on the NCAAF odds.

How to Bet Purdue at Iowa NCAA Football Odds & TV Info

  • When: Saturday, 3:30 PM ET
  • Where: Kinnick Stadium
  • TV: ABC
  • Stream: ESPN app
  • Radio: Tunein.com
  • Opening NCAAF Lines: Iowa -11.5 (total 43)

Last Season

These schools opened the 2020 campaign against one another and Iowa lost 24-20 at Purdue. Boilers start WR David Bell had three touchdown receptions, including the go-ahead score with 2:15 remaining. Bell became the first Boilermaker with three touchdown receptions in a game since Terry Wright also caught three vs. Iowa in November 2018. Bell’s touchdown catches were for nine, 11 and six yards. The Boilermakers forced three fumbles and recovered twice. Purdue was without head coach Brian Brohm due to COVID.

Purdue is 49-39-2 all-time against Iowa in a series that dates back to 1910. The last three matchups in the series have been decided by one score. Since 2012, Purdue has gone 2-2 inside Kinnick Stadium.

Why Bet on Purdue?

Purdue (3-2) has been off since a 20-13 home loss to Minnesota on Oct. 2. The Boilers were kept off the scoreboard in the second half for the first time since October 2019. Overall, the Purdue offense was pinned inside the 20 four times on punts, as Minnesota’s Mark Crawford averaged 51 yards per kick on his six punts. Seven of Purdue’s 11 drives started inside the 25-yard line, none started past the 25 and three began inside the 10.

QB Aidan O’Connell completed 34 of 52 passes for 371 yards, one touchdown and one interception. He completed passes to 11 different Boilermakers. David Bell led the way with 120 yards on six receptions.

Bell now has 13 career games with 100-plus yards receiving, second-most in program history. John Standeford holds the Purdue record with 14. Bell is the 12th player in program history with 2,000 career receiving yards, and now has 2,099, 11th-most. He moved into 11th place all-time with 166 career receptions. Chris Daniels’ 170 career receptions is next on the list at No. 10.

Bell’s 13 career 100-yard receiving games is the most by an active player in the country since 2019. Bell is also the fastest active FBS receiver to crack 2,000 receiving yards. Western Kentucky’s Ben Ratzlaff (20 career games) would pose a slight threat to accomplish the feat in 22 games if he were to produce 433 receiving yards in the Hilltoppers’ next two contests.

As for this game, the Boilermakers are 5-10 all-time against opponents ranked No. 2 in the Associated Press Top 25 poll. The last time Purdue took on the nation’s No. 2 team was a night to remember at Ross-Ade Stadium, as the Boilermakers took down No. 2 Ohio State, 49-20, on Oct. 20, 2018.

Why Bet on Iowa?

Iowa (6-0) rallied from down 17-3 to beat No. 4 Penn State last Saturday, 23-20. Junior Nico Ragaini’s 44-yard touchdown reception with 6:26 remaining was the winning score. QB Spencer Petras finished 17-of-31 for 195 yards and two touchdowns, including the 44-yarder to Ragaini that gave Iowa the lead. Ragaini had four catches for a team-high 73 yards in the game. Petras has led Iowa to 12 consecutive wins and is 12-2 as Iowa’s starting quarterback. He has the best winning percentage by a starting quarterback in program history (.857).

Iowa’s defense was the story, forcing Penn State into four interceptions in the game, but the biggest play was a hit by linebacker Jack Campbell. It knocked Penn State quarterback Sean Clifford out of the game. Penn State had 221 yards and scored 17 points with Clifford under center in the first quarter and a half; the Nittany Lions had 66 yards the rest of the way. Iowa’s defense limited Penn State to 287 total yards.

Iowa leads the country and 16 interceptions.  The Hawkeyes have scored 78 points on 20 takeaways this season. Iowa has played 28 straight games without surrendering 25 points, the longest streak in the nation among Power 5 teams. Iowa leads the Big Ten and ranks fourth in the country in scoring defense (13.0). Iowa’s total defense (274.2) ranks second in the Big Ten and ninth in the country. Riley Moss leads the Big Ten and ties for the national lead with four interceptions.

During the 12-game winning streak, the Hawkeyes have outscored opponents, 403-161, averaging 33.6 points per game offensively and allowing 13.4 ppg during the winning streak. The 12-game winning streak ranks fourth all-time in school history (20, 1920-23; 14, 1899-00; 13, 2008-09).

Game Trends

  • Boilermakers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
  • Boilermakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
  • Boilermakers are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog.
  • Hawkeyes are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Hawkeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Expert Prediction

  • Iowa 24, Purdue 13

 


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