2019 NFL Week 5 Must-Bet Games

2019 NFL Week 5 Must-Bet Games

Written by on July 23, 2019

A quartet of legitimate Super Bowl hopefuls will all be in action in Week 5 of the upcoming 2019 NFL regular season when Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks host Jared Goff and the Los Angeles Rams out west and Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas Chiefs host Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts in the Midwest. Now, let’s find out which teams are offering the best betting value in their respective matchups.

 2019 NFL Week 5 Must-Bet Games

LA Rams at Seattle Seahawks

  • When: Thursday, October 3, 2019 at 7:20 PM ET
  • Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle
  • NFL Odds: LA Rams -1

The Rams went 13-3 in the regular season a year ago while getting past Dallas and New Orleans to reach Super Bowl 53 before coming up small against in their 13-3 title game loss against New England. While Jared Goff, Todd Gurley and the rest of the Rams’ high-powered offense averaged a healthy 32.9 points per game to finish second in scoring, Los Angeles’ defense, which they made significant upgrades to last offseason, came up well short of their expectations in allowing 24.0 points per game to finish 20th in points allowed.

While the Rams beat Seattle twice in their two regular season meetings against their NFC West division rivals, they also failed to cover the chalk in both meetings, including their 33-31 road win in Week 5 and their 36-31 home win in Week 10.

On the other side of the field, Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks are coming off a fine, 10-6 season that saw them surpass expectations to reach the playoffs before narrowly losing to Dallas 24-22 in the wild card round. Now, as they get set for the upcoming 2019 campaign, Seattle is one of the teams that I believe is poised for even bigger and better things this coming season after finishing a solid eighth in scoring (26.8 ppg) and respectable 11th in points allowed (21.7 ppg).

Seattle recorded a fantastic 9-5-1 ATS mark last season while going 5-2-1 ATS at home. The Seahawks have also covered the chalk in each of their last three home games against the Rams where they’ve been listed as underdogs. Not to mention the fact that they’ve gone 5-1 ATS in their last six road games overall. Maybe it’s me, but I’m thinking payback will be the name of this game as Russell Wilson leads Seattle to the narrow home win and ATS cover.

Pick: Seattle +1

Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals

  • When: Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
  • TV: FOX
  • NFL Odds: Cincinnati -4

Arizona will be a month into their new era of Kliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray by the time this Week 5 matchup rolls around and by this point, I’m expecting the Cardinals to be putting up plenty of points in Kingsbury’s high-octane offensive system after averaging a pitiful 14.1 points per game a year ago (32nd). On the other side of the field, Cincinnati will also be heading into their fifth game under first-time head coach Zac Taylor after going 6-10 under former head coach Marvin Lewis last season.

While the Bengals have a  roster that features many of the same veterans they’ve had for the last few seasons, starting with quarterback Andy Dalton and Pro Bowl wide receiver A.J. Green, really, everything is new for the Bengals. Maybe it’s me, but these two rebuilding teams look a lot more evenly matched than anything else right now and I’m going with Murray and the Cards to push Dalton and company at home for the outright win.

Pick: Arizona +4

Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs

  • When: Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 7:20 PM ET
  • Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • TV: NBC
  • NFL Week 5: Over/Under Total 56

Things are looking up for Indianapolis as they get set for the upcoming 2019 regular season. A year ago, Andrew Luck returned with a vengeance after missing the entire 2017 season to lead Indianapolis to a stunning 10-6 record and a berth in the postseason The Colts’ franchise superstar quarterback completed a blistering 67.3 percent of passes for 4,593 yards with 39 TD tosses and now, Indy looks poised for even bigger and better things in Year 2 of the Frank Reich era.

By now, NFL fans and betting enthusiasts everywhere know the Kansas City Chiefs have a high-powered offense that led the league in scoring last season (35.3 ppg) and is centered around the incomparable talents of reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes. Now, as they get set for the upcoming 2019 regular season, Kansas City is looking to take another step forward in their evolution after going 12-4 a year ago and reaching the AFC Championship game where they fell to New England 37-31 in overtime.

For this intriguing Week 5 inter-conference clash, I like the Over 56 total points simply because the Chiefs and Colts combined to put up a whopping 62.4 points per game while allowing a combined 47.8 points per contest defensively. I know Patrick Mahomes led Kansas City to an overpowering 31-13 win over Indy in the divisional round, but this time around, I’m expecting Luck to help the Colts get in the end zone early and often in a contest that looks like a Wild West’ kind of shootout just waiting to happen.

Pick: Over 56 Total Points
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