AFC Wild Card Round: Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers Opening Lines and Betting Trends January 10, 2021

Written by on January 5, 2021

The Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4) host the Cleveland Browns (11-5) in the AFC Wild Card round of the 2020 NFL Playoffs as 4.5-point favorites on January 10, 2021 at 8:15 PM ET on NBC. The point total is set at 46.5.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 10, 2021
  • Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBC
  • Location: Pittsburgh, PA
  • Stadium: Heinz Field
Place a bet on the Steelers or the Browns in their Week 1 matchup.

Betting Information

Steelers vs Browns Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Steelers -4.5 -110 -110 46.5 -110 -110 -235 190

Steelers Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has compiled a 10-6 record against the spread this season.
  • The Steelers are just 4-5 ATS when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
  • Most of Pittsburgh’s games this year — nine out of 16 — have hit the over (56.2%).
  • The Browns defense has allowed 26.2 points per game this season, about the same amount as the 26 the Steelers have scored.
  • When they meet or go over their scoring average this season, Pittsburgh is 10-0 and 9-1 against the spread.
  • When the Cleveland defense allows 26.2 points or fewer this year, the Browns have put together a 7-2 overall record and a 4-5 record against the spread.
Bet on the Steelers to win the Super Bowl.

Browns Betting Insights

  • Cleveland’s games have hit the over in nine out of 16 opportunities this season (56.2%).
  • Cleveland has a losing 6-10 record against the spread.
  • The Browns are just 2-5 ATS when an underdog by at least 4.5 points.
  • The Browns, on average, score six more points per game this season (25.5) than the Steelers allow (19.5).
  • In games where Cleveland scores at least 25.5 points this season, they are 7-1 overall and 4-4 against the spread.
  • Pittsburgh is 6-0 overall and 4-2 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 19.5 points.
Bet on the Browns to win the Super Bowl.

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Steelers vs Browns
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Steelers (-4.5) Over (46.5) Steelers 29 Browns 20

Total Facts

  • The Steelers and their opponents have put up at least 46.5 points — this matchup’s over/under — in six of 16 outings (37.5%) this year.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have added up to score more than 46.5 points in 50% of their games this season (eight of 16 opportunities).
  • The two teams average a combined 5.0 more points per game (51.5) than this game’s total of 46.5 points.
  • The Steelers and the Browns have seen their opponents average a combined 0.8 less points per game than the over/under of 46.5 set in this game.
  • The average total the Steelers have had set in matchups this year is 1.0 fewer point than this outing’s point total.
  • The average point total for the Browns this year is 5.2 points higher than this game’s over/under.
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Steelers vs Browns: Last 5 Meetings

Pittsburgh holds an edge against Cleveland in the last five matchups between these two teams, putting together a 3-2 record in those games. The Steelers are 3-1 against the spread in those games against the Browns. Pittsburgh has had the scoring advantage in those five matchups, totaling 120 points while Cleveland scored 83.

Steelers vs Browns: Last Five Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
1/3/2021 Browns Browns -10.00 44.50 -480 +380 394-358 PIT 24-22 CLE
10/18/2020 Steelers Steelers -3.00 50.00 -175 +150 277-220 PIT 38-7 PIT
12/1/2019 Browns Steelers -1 40 -120 +105 323-279 PIT 20-13 PIT
11/14/2019 Browns Browns -3 41.5 -152 +133 293-236 CLE 21-7 CLE
10/28/2018 N/A Steelers N/A N/A N/A N/A 421-237 PIT 33-18 PIT

Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)

  • Pittsburgh has gone 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 overall over their last three games.
  • Pittsburgh has hit the over three times in their last three outcomes.
  • The Steelers and their opponents have combined to score an average of 47.3 points over their last three games, 0.8 more than the 46.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • Cleveland has struggled to cover recently, going 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 straight up over their last three contests.
  • The under has been familiar to Cleveland. They have failed to reach the total two times in their last three outcomes.
  • The Browns total over the last three games is 9.5 points fewer than the 46.5 over/under listed for this matchup.

Injury Report

Steelers: ILB Devin Bush: Out (Acl), RB Trey Edmunds: Out (Hamstring), SS Terrell Edmunds: Questionable (Shoulder), TE Zach Gentry: Out (Knee), ILB Ulysees Gilbert III: Out (Ankle), ILB Robert Spillane: Out (Knee), CB Joe Haden: Out (Illness), OT Matt Feiler: Out (Pectoral), TE Eric Ebron: Out (Illness), OLB Bud Dupree: Out (Knee (acl)), K Chris Boswell: Questionable (Groin), OT Zach Banner: Out (Torn Acl), DE Cassius Marsh: Out (Illness)

Browns: WR Donovan Peoples-Jones: Questionable (Concussion), TE Harrison Bryant: Out (Illness), CB Greedy Williams: Out (Shoulder), DE George Obinna: Out (Triceps), S Elijah Benton: Out (Illness), DE Curtis Weaver: Out (Foot), S Grant Delpit: Out (Torn Achilles), C Nick Harris: Questionable (Knee), CB Denzel Ward: Out (Illness), WR JoJo Natson: Out (Acl), OLB Trevon Young: Out (Undisclosed), C Javon Patterson: Out (Illness), CB Kevin Johnson: Out (Illness), WR Odell Beckham Jr.: Out (Torn Acl), OT Chris Hubbard: Out (Knee), DE Olivier Vernon: Out (Achilles), OLB Malcolm Smith: Out (Illness), FS Andrew Sendejo: Out (Illness), OT Kendall Lamm: Questionable (Illness), LS Charley Hughlett: Out (Illness), ILB B.J. Goodson: Out (Illness), WR Taywan Taylor: Out (Neck)

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