Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots: Line and Betting Trends for Week 8

Written by on October 27, 2020

Oddsmakers project the New England Patriots (2-4) to put up a fight in their attempt to end their three-game losing streak, as they are just 3.5-point underdogs in a matchup against the Buffalo Bills (5-2) on Sunday, November 1, 2020 at New Era Field. The over/under is set at 44.0 for the outing.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 1, 2020
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Orchard Park, NY
  • Stadium: New Era Field
Click here to place a bet on the Bills or the Patriots in their matchup on 11/1/2020.

Betting Information

Bills vs Patriots Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Bills -3.5 -110 -110 44.0 -110 -110 -185 160

Bills Betting Insights

  • Buffalo has put together a losing 3-4 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bills have an even ATS record of 2-2 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • Buffalo’s games have hit the over in five out of seven opportunities this season (71.4%).
  • The Bills average points scored this season (24.9) and the Patriots points allowed (23.8) are within 1.1 points of each other.
  • In games where Buffalo score at least 24.9 points this season, they are 4-0 overall and 3-1 against the spread.
  • When the New England defense allows 23.8 points or fewer this year, the Patriots have accumulated a 2-1 overall record and a 2-1 record against the spread.
Click here to bet on the Bills to win the Super Bowl

Patriots Betting Insights

  • Most of New England’s games this year — four out of six — have failed to go over the point total (66.7%).
  • New England has a losing 2-4 record against the spread.
  • The Patriots are 2-1 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • The Patriots have averaged 6.2 fewer points per game this season (19.2) than the Bills have allowed (25.4).
  • In games where New England scores at least 19.2 points this season, they are 2-1 overall and 2-1 against the spread.
  • Buffalo is 3-0 overall and 2-1 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 25.4 points.
Click here to bet on the Patriots to win the Super Bowl

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Bills vs Patriots
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Bills (-3.5) Over (44) Bills 27 Patriots 20

Total Facts

  • The average point total in Bills games this year is 6.3 more points than the total of 44.0 in this matchup.
  • The average point total for the Patriots this year is 1.0 point lower than this game’s over/under.
  • The Bills and their opponents have combined to put up more than this matchup’s over/under (44.0 points) in 71.4% of their outings this year (five of seven opportunities).
  • The Patriots have played in two games this season (out of six total matchups — 33.3% of opportunities) where they and their opponents combined to score at least 44.0 points.
  • The two teams average a combined 0.1 more points per game (44.1) than this matchup’s total of 44.0 points.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 49.2 points per game, 5.2 more than the over/under in this matchup.
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Bills vs Patriots: Last 5 Meetings

New England holds a 5-0 advantage over Buffalo in the last five meetings between these two squads. The Bills are 2-0 against the spread in those games against the Patriots. New England has had the scoring advantage in those five matchups, recording 126 points while Buffalo notched 61.

Bills vs Patriots: Last Five Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
12/21/2019 Patriots Patriots -7 39 -335 +290 414-268 NE 24-17 NE
9/29/2019 Patriots Bills -7 41.5 -315 +275 375-224 BUF 16-10 NE
12/23/2018 N/A Patriots N/A N/A N/A N/A 390-289 NE 24-12 NE
10/29/2018 N/A Bills N/A N/A N/A N/A 387-333 NE 25-6 NE
12/24/2017 N/A Patriots N/A N/A N/A N/A 411-326 NE 37-16 NE

Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)

  • The Bills average total over the last three games is 1.0 points fewer than the 44.0 over/under given for this matchup.
  • Buffalo has gone 0-3 against the spread and 1-2 overall over their last three games.
  • Buffalo has hit under the total two times in the last three contests.
  • The Patriots total over the last three games is 9.0 points fewer than the 44.0 total listed for this matchup.
  • New England is just 0-3 against the spread and 0-3 straight up over their last three games.
  • The under has been familiar to New England. They have failed to reach the total three times in their last three contests.

Injury Report

Bills: TE Lee Smith: Out (Illness), CB Josh Norman: Questionable (Hamstring), WR John Brown: Questionable (Knee), G Jon Feliciano: Out (Torn Pectoral Muscle), CB Levi Wallace: Out (Ankle), OT Cody Ford: Questionable (Knee), TE Dawson Knox: Out (Illness), TE Tommy Sweeney: Out (Illness), OLB Tyrel Dodson: Out (Hamstring), OLB Del’Shawn Phillips: Out (Quadriceps), TE Nate Becker: Out (Illness), WR Isaiah Hodgins: Out (Shoulder)

Patriots: FS Cody Davis: Out (Ribs), OLB Brandon Copeland: Out (Torn Pectoral), DT Beau Allen: Questionable (Undisclosed), G James Ferentz: Out (Illness), DT Carl Davis Jr.: Questionable (Concussion), LB Brandon King: Out (Quadriceps), G Joe Thuney: Questionable (Ankle), G Jermaine Eluemunor: Out (Ankle), WR Quincy Adeboyejo: Out (Undisclosed), RB Sony Michel: Out (Illness), WR N’Keal Harry: Questionable (Head), OT Yodny Cajuste: Out (Knee), LB Josh Uche: Questionable (Foot), S Kyle Dugger: Questionable (Ankle), OL Justin Herron: Questionable (Ankle), DL Michael Barnett: Out (Undisclosed)

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