Chiefs vs 49ers Super Bowl LIV Odds, Game Preview & Expert Pick

Chiefs vs 49ers Super Bowl LIV Odds, Game Preview & Expert Pick

Written by on January 24, 2020

On Feb 2, the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers throw down in Super Bowl 54. Right now, Kansas City is a slight -1 favorite to beat the 49ers. The line has moved a half a point in San Francisco’s favor. Will the 49ers grab their first Vince Lombardi Trophy since 1995? Or, will the Chiefs win their first Super Bowl since 1969? Check out the Super Bowl LIV odds, a preview and a free pick!

Chiefs vs 49ers Super Bowl LIV Odds, Game Preview & Expert Pick

  • When: Sunday, Jan. Feb 2 at 6:30 pm ET
  • Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
  • TV: FOX
  • Radio: Chiefs / 49ers
  • Live Stream: Fox Sports Go
  • ATS Odds:  Chiefs -1
  • Over/Under Total Odds: 54

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy:  13°C/56°F
  • Humidity: 67%
  • Precipitation: 10%
  • Wind: 9 mph NW
  • Cloud Cover: 24%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why the Kansas City Chiefs are a good bet -1?

One name, two words: Patrick Mahomes. The 2018 NFL MVP has been on fire since Week 11. Mahomes has a 19 to 4 touchdown to interception ratio since Nov. 10. He threw 8 touchdowns and no interceptions in wins over the Texans and Titans in the playoffs.

Right now, Mahomes is playing out of mind. Not only that, but San Francisco’s strong safety Jaquiski Tartt is listed as questionable for Feb. 2. If Tartt’s not on the field to cover TE Travis Kelce, Mahomes should have a monster day.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 379.2
  • Passing Yards: 281.1
  • Rushing Yards: 98.1
  • Points Scored: 28.2
  • Total Yards: 349.6
  • Passing Yards: 221.4
  • Rushing Yards: 128.2
  • Points Allowed: 19.3

Why the San Francisco 49ers are a good bet +1?

The San Francisco 49ers’ strength is a Kansas City weakness. The 49ers rush for 144.1 yards per. They dominated the Green Bay Packers with 285 rushing yards in the NFC Championship. San Francisco’s rushing attack faces a defense on February 2 that allows 128.2 rushing yards per. That bad news for the Kansas City Chiefs. Behind a strong rushing attack, the 49ers can win Super Bowl LIV.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 381.1
  • Passing Yards: 237
  • Rushing Yards: 144.1
  • Points Scored: 29.1
  • Total Yards: 281.8
  • Passing Yards: 169.2
  • Rushing Yards: 112.6
  • Points Allowed: 19.4

Super Bowl LIV Betting Trends for Kansas City Chiefs versus San Francisco 49ers

  • 49ers are 6-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record
  • San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog
  • 49ers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall
  • Under is 4-1 in San Francisco’s last 5 playoff games
  • Chiefs are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games
  • Kansas City is 5-0 ATS versus a team with a winning record
  • Chiefs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 as a favorite
  • Over is 7-2 in Chiefs 9 versus a team with a winning record

Super Bowl LIV Final Betting Analysis

Although the 49ers have an awesome rushing attack, the Chiefs’ defense has improved in that area. Kansas City held the Texans to 94 rushing yards. The unit shut down Titans’ Pro Bowl running back Derrick Henry in the AFC Championship. Henry rushed for 69 yards on 19 carries.

No doubt, Chiefs’ coach Andy Reid will put an eighth man in the box. That should temper San Francisco’s run game. So, the real question is how well Jimmy Garoppolo performs. Garoppolo completed 69.1% of his passes overall. But he had some bad games this season. He completed just 57.9% against the Minnesota Vikings in the playoffs. He completed 59.3% against the Rams in Week 16.

The Chiefs rank eighth in passing yards allowed at 221.4 per. They rank seventh in points allowed per game at 19.3. Also, the Chiefs have allowed 21 points or more in 3 out of their final 8 games. That’s a great trend heading into February 2nd.

The Chiefs defense mustn’t be perfect against the 49ers, though. The reason? San Francisco won’t stop Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes can beat you with his arm and legs. He’ll ensure the Chiefs score over 30. KC’s defense should contain the 49ers’ rushing attack just enough for the Super Bowl 54 win.

Super Bowl 54 Free Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -1