Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs: AFC Divisional Round Odds and Computer Picks January 17, 2021

Written by on January 17, 2021

The Kansas City Chiefs (14-2) host the Cleveland Browns (11-5) in the AFC Divisional round of the 2020 NFL Playoffs as big 10-point favorites on January 17, 2021 at 3:05 PM ET on CBS. The game’s over/under is set at 56.0.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 17, 2021
  • Game Time: 3:05 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Kansas City, MO
  • Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
Place a bet on the Chiefs or the Browns in their Week 2 matchup.

Betting Information

Chiefs vs Browns Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Chiefs -10.0 -110 -110 56.0 -110 -110 -540 395

Chiefs Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has put together a losing 7-9 record against the spread this season.
  • The Chiefs are just 2-4 ATS when playing as at least 10.0-point favorites.
  • Kansas City has played in eight games this year that went over the point total (50% of its outings).
  • The Chiefs have put an average of 29.6 points per game on the scoreboard this season, 3.4 more than the 26.2 the Browns have surrendered in each contest.
  • When they meet or exceed their scoring average this season, Kansas City is 8-1 and 5-4 against the spread.
  • Cleveland is 7-2 overall and 4-5 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 26.2 points.
Bet on the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl.

Browns Betting Insights

  • 9 of Cleveland’s 16 games this year have gone over the point total (56.2% of its outings).
  • Cleveland has a losing 6-10 record against the spread.
  • The Browns are just 0-1 ATS when an underdog by at least 10.0 points.
  • The Browns average points scored this season (25.5) and the Chiefs points allowed (22.6) are within 2.9 points of each other.
  • Cleveland is 7-1 overall and 4-4 against the spread when they score at least 25.5 points this season.
  • Kansas City is 9-0 overall and 6-3 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 22.6 points.
Bet on the Browns to win the Super Bowl.

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Chiefs vs Browns
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Chiefs (-10) Under (56) Chiefs 32 Browns 21

Total Facts

  • The Chiefs’ average point total in matchups this year is 52.2, 3.8 points less than the total in this game.
  • The average point total for the Browns this year is 4.3 points less than this game’s over/under.
  • The Chiefs and their opponents have scored at least 56.0 points — this matchup’s over/under — in seven of 16 outings (43.8%) this year.
  • The Browns and their opponents have combined to score at least 56.0 points in 31.2% of their matchups this season (five of 16 opportunities).
  • The two teams average a combined 0.9 fewer points per game (55.1) than this game’s over/under of 56.0 points.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 7.2 fewer points per game (48.8) than this matchup’s total of 56.0 points.
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Chiefs vs Browns: Last 5 Meetings

In the past five meetings between these two teams, Kansas City has a 4-1 advantage over Cleveland. Kansas City outscored Cleveland 100-95 in those five head-to-head matchups.

Chiefs vs Browns: Last Five Meetings
Date Home Team Total Yards Result
11/4/2018 Browns 499-388 KC 37-21 KC
12/27/2015 Chiefs 368-258 CLE 17-13 KC
10/27/2013 Chiefs 340-331 CLE 23-17 KC
12/9/2012 Browns 352-310 CLE 30-7 CLE
9/19/2010 Browns 312-299 KC 16-14 KC

Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)

  • The Chiefs have averaged a total of 50.3 combined points in their last three games, 5.7 less than this game’s over/under of 56.0.
  • Kansas City has gone 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 overall over their last three games.
  • The over has been kind to Kansas City. They have gone over the total two times in their last three outcomes.
  • The Browns total over the last three games is 19.0 points fewer than the 56.0 over/under listed for this matchup.
  • Cleveland has struggled to cover, going 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 straight up over their last three contests.
  • Cleveland has gone under the total two times in their last three games.

Injury Report

Chiefs: ILB Emmanuel Smith: Out (Hamstring), LB Ben Niemann: Questionable (Hamstring), CB Rashad Fenton: Questionable (Ankle), LB Dorian O’Daniel: Questionable (Ankle), DE Taco Charlton: Out (Leg), OT Mitchell Schwartz: Out (Back), G Kelechi Osemele: Out (Knee), OT Mike Remmers: Questionable (Back), WR Sammy Watkins: Questionable (Calf), WR Tyreek Hill: Questionable (Hamstring), CB DeAndre Baker: Out (Leg), RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Questionable (Ankle), CB Alex Brown: Out (Torn Acl), LB Willie Gay Jr.: Questionable (Ankle)

Browns: DE Curtis Weaver: Out (Foot), S Grant Delpit: Out (Torn Achilles), C Nick Harris: Out (Knee), DE George Obinna: Out (Triceps), S Jovante Moffatt: Out (Gameday Inactive), DE Olivier Vernon: Out (Achilles), OT Chris Hubbard: Out (Knee), G Joel Bitonio: Out (Illness), CB Kevin Johnson: Out (Illness), WR Odell Beckham Jr.: Out (Torn Acl), LS Charley Hughlett: Out (Illness), OT Jack Conklin: Questionable (Hamstring), ILB B.J. Goodson: Questionable (Shoulder), WR JoJo Natson: Out (Acl), WR Taywan Taylor: Out (Neck), CB Denzel Ward: Out (Illness), CB Robert Jackson: Questionable (Hamstring), OLB Trevon Young: Out (Undisclosed), WR KhaDarel Hodge: Out (Illness), CB Greedy Williams: Out (Shoulder)

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