New England Patriots vs New York Jets

New England Patriots vs New York Jets Week 2 | 2021 NFL Expert Analysis

For the first time in the 2021 NFL season, we will have rookie quarterbacks match up Sunday as No. 15 overall pick Mac Jones leads the Patriots against No. 2 overall pick Zach Wilson and the Jets. New England is a solid road favorite on the NFL odds.

How to Bet Patriots at Jets NFL Odds & TV Info

Series History

Last season, the Patriots extended their winning streak to 10 straight victories over the Jets after earning their 21st series sweep and their fifth straight. The Patriots overcame a 27-17 deficit to win 30-27 at the Jets on Nov. 9, then closed out the year with a 28-14 win at Gillette Stadium on Jan. 3.

Why Bet on New England?

The Pats were upset in Week 1, 17-16 at home by the Miami Dolphins. First-round rookie QB Mac Jones completed 28-of-39 passes for 281 yards and a touchdown. It was a solid debut for Jones against an elite defense, as he counteracted the Dolphins’ pressure by getting the ball out quickly.

His 133 passing yards in the first half would have been a season high for the Patriots in a first half in 2020. Jones was 6-of-8 off play-action, including his first career touchdown — a 7-yard strike to wide receiver Nelson Agholor in the second quarter. He was also 9-of-13 with a touchdown when under duress from Miami’s defensive pressure.

Damien Harris rushed 23 times for 100 yards in the Patriots’ Week 1 loss, also losing a fumble with 3:18 remaining.  He also added two receptions for 17 additional yards. Harris dominated the Patriots’ backfield, soaking up 23-of-30 carries, but his cough up at the Dolphins’ 11-yard line was the difference in the game. He was fighting for extra yardage in too crowded of a pile.

Coach Bill Belichick could reduce Harris’ role this week because of that fumble, but rookie RB Rhamondre Stevenson fumbled too, putting him in the doghouse for much of Week 1. J.J. Taylor — a Week 1 healthy scratch – could take a bigger role this week.

Right tackle Trent Brown logged seven snaps in Week 1 before heading to the sidelines with a calf strain. He’s questionable for this one.

Why Bet on NY Jets?

The Jets lost 19-14 at Carolina last Sunday. Rookie No. 2 overall Zach Wilson showed some promise in his NFL debut but also showed his lack of experience. While he maneuvered well and tossed a pair of touchdown passes, he was also sacked six times and threw a pick as well. Wilson completed 20 of 37 passes for 258 yards and a pair of touchdowns, both to Corey Davis.

Wilson’s first half couldn’t have gone worse. He was 0-for-4 on third down, 0-for-4 against the blitz, 0-for-7 under duress, 0-for-4 on play-action and 0-for-3 on deep passes. Wilson played much better in the second half but wasn’t accurate enough overall (54.1%), and his six sacks highlight the speed of the NFL game to which he must adjust.

The Jets got some bad news as left tackle Mekhi Becton will be sidelined a minimum of four to six weeks with a dislocated right knee cap. Without Becton, the Jets will move George Fant to left tackle, his natural position. Morgan Moses, who started the season on the bench after losing out to Fant in the right-tackle competition, will become the starter on the right side.

In addition, free safety Lamarcus Joyner (torn triceps) will miss the remainder of the season. Rookie middle linebacker Jamien Sherwood (sprained ankle) will be sidelined two weeks. Punter Braden Mann (sprained knee) will miss a minimum of four to six weeks. To replace Mann, the Jets signed Thomas Morstead. He set career lows in yards per punt (43.1) and longest punt (58) last year with New Orleans.

On the bright side, top wideout Jamison Crowder should play this week after missing the opener in the COVID protocols.

The last regular-season game at MetLife Stadium with fans in the stands was on Dec. 22, 2019 when the Jets beat the Steelers, 16-0. Sunday will be the first time coach Robert Saleh, the second-year players and the rookies will all play in front of Jets fans in a regular-season game.

When the Patriots’ Mac Jones and the Jets’ Wilson go under center, it’ll mark the earliest in a season since 2015 – when Jameis Winston and the Buccaneers opened the season at home against Marcus Mariota and the Titans – that rookie starting quarterbacks drafted in the first round will meet in a game.

Game Trends

  • Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East.
  • Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Jets are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
  • Jets are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 vs. AFC East.
  • Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Expert Prediction

  • Patriots 23, Jets 20
 
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