The opening month of the new NFL season will come to a close this weekend, at which point we should have a very good idea of the challengers and the pretenders. Of course, with each time still having 13 games to play after this weekend, we should all be aware that things will still have the potential to change dramatically in the coming weeks and month. It has certainly been a surprising start to the season, as the 5 teams who remain unbeaten are, for the most part, a bit of a surprise. The defending champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers are not in that list, while the Kansas City Chiefs, who have been to back-to-back Super Bowls, are sitting at 1-2. There are some huge games this week, so let’s take a look at our NFL Week 4 SU picks for you to continue betting against the NFL odds.
NFL Betting | Straight-Up Picks for Week 4 of the 2021 Season
Cleveland Browns over Minnesota Vikings
This is a game that I was tempted to skip and move into my O/U picks, as this one looks all set to go OVER the point total. For my SU picks, though, I do like playing games that the bookies see as close, which they do with this one. The Browns hit the road as a modest 2-point favorite, which suggests that we can expect a tight affair on Sunday. While it’s always a good idea to look at past trends, things are a little trickier with the Browns, as they have been historically poor up until the last couple of seasons. For example, they are just 1-4 SU in their last 5 visits to Minnesota but compare that with their 14-6 SU record in their last 20 games and you see that this is not the same team. I like the Browns to eke out the win here.
Detroit Lions over Chicago Bears
This is definitely an iffy pick, but I do enjoy trying to find an underdog that can get the win every week. Looking at the current odds for Week 4, this is the one that seems to be the most appealing. Yes, the Lions are 0-3, but they are coming off a controversial loss to the Baltimore Ravens that came via a blown delay of game call followed by a record-breaking FG kick. On the flipside, you have a Bear team that generated fewer yards in their last game than the length of the kick that beat the Lions. They also have no idea who will start at QB this weekend. These are two teams with a laundry list of issues, but the Lions, unbelievably, seems to have fewer than the Bears.
Miami Dolphins over Indianapolis Colts
These are another pair of teams who have not really shown that they can be in the playoff conversation this season, but as we mentioned at the start of this piece, it is still very early in the year. The Colts come into this weekend still looking for their first win of the season, with offense proving to be a particular issue for them. The Dolphins followed up a Week 1 win with back-to-back losses, although they were perhaps a little unlucky not to get the win versus the Las Vegas Raiders this past weekend. The Colts now have just 1 win in their last 6 games, while the Dolphins have won 10 of their last 15. A close one here, but I like Miami to get the win.