Super Bowl 52 Betting Guide: Offense vs. Defense

Super Bowl 52 Betting Guide: Offense vs. Defense

Written by on January 25, 2018

For every football fan that loves offensive shootouts, there is another who loves hard-hitting, defensive football where every single yard is gained through sheer power and grit. Regardless of which side of that coin you fall on, you need to put your personal preferences aside when it comes to your Super Bowl 52 betting strategy, especially if you have an eye on the point total. For Super Bowl 52, our online sportsbook currently have the point total at 48. This is a pretty common number, as 3 of the last 5 SB match-ups have been listed as 47 ½ or 48 points. While it’s a good idea to look at the history of the big game to see if the final outcome was an over or under, you also need to look at the teams taking part in the upcoming game to see which side things are likely to come down on.

Super Bowl 52 Betting Guide: Offense vs. Defense

  • When: Sunday, February 4, 2018, 6:30 PM ET
  • Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
  • TV: NBC
  • Radio: 94.1 FM (Philadelphia) / 98.5 FM (New England)
  • Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
  • Super Bowl 52 Betting Odds: New England Patriots -5 (Over/Under at 48 points)

Injuries That Will Affect Your Super Bowl LII Betting Plan

The Case for the Offense

You talk about the Patriots offense and all you really need to say is Tom Brady. It doesn’t seem to matter who the Pats plugin at the WR spot, Brady will find a way to consistently hurt them. It certainly doesn’t hurt having a target as huge as Rob Gronkowski, not to mention a reliable receiver in Julian Edelman, the man who almost single-handedly led the comeback charge against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the AFC Conference Game. The Patriots are averaging close to 29 PPG this season, and if the Eagles cannot stop Brady, this offense could go off. Those people who believe that the point total in SB 52 will go under will likely use backup QB Nick Foles as the reason it will head in that direction. This is probably an argument that should go out the window after the performance that Foles delivered in the NFC Championship Game, where he threw for over 350 yards and 3 TD. Let’s not forget that this was a performance that came against the best defense in the league, so he and his offense are certainly capable of replicating that against the Patriots, but that’s was not enough to come in as Super Bowl 52 betting favorites.

Eagles Offensive Stats

  • Average Score For: 28.33
  • Total Yards: 369.00
  • Rush Yards: 128.94
  • Passing Yards: 240.06

Patriots Offensive Stats

  • Average Score For: 28.72
  • Total Yards: 393.78
  • Rush Yards: 113.11
  • Passing Yards: 280.67

The Case for the Defense

A defensive battle would mean that we would see the point total go UNDER, but do the New England Patriots or the Philadelphia Eagles have the guys on the defensive side of the football that has the skill to effectively shut the other team down? Let’s start by looking at the defending champion New England Patriots and their defensive unit. The Pats have given up an average of just a little over 18 PPG this season, which certainly suggests that they can play defense when needed. They have not given up more than 20 points in each of their last 4 games, 2 of which came in the playoffs. 10 of their 18 games this season have gone UNDER, so a solid defensive showing is definitely a possibility. Malcolm Butler and the Patriots defense are one of the reasons why New England is the Super Bowl 52 Betting favorites. Defensively speaking, the Eagles have been even better than the Patriots this year, giving up an average of slightly over 17 PPG. They have been particularly stout against the run, and while you can argue that they still need to slow down Tom Brady, if the Eagles can stifle the Patriots running game, they can make them one dimensional and perhaps easier to defend. Philly has become even tougher defensively since losing QB Carson Wentz, and have given up a total of just 33 points in their last 4 games. Stopping Brady is a tough ask, but this defense can do it.

Eagles Defensive Stats

  • Average Score Against: 17.33
  • Total Yards: 306.56
  • Rush Yards: 79.06
  • Passing Yards: 227.50

Patriots Defensive Stats

  • Average Score Against: 18.33
  • Total Yards: 360.94
  • Rush Yards: 111.22
  • Passing Yards: 249.72
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