Top ATS Betting Matchups & NFL Week 7 Picks

Top ATS Betting Matchups & NFL Week 7 Picks

Written by on October 17, 2017

If you are a Jets fan, you still are probably upset that the officials overturned New York tight end’s Austin Seferian-Jenkins’ touchdown catch in the fourth quarter vs. New England. Seferian-Jenkins’ overturned touchdown came with 8:24 remaining in the fourth quarter and the Jets trailing 24-14. Because the ball was ruled to be a fumble out of bounds, the play resulted in a touchback and the Jets losing possession. The Patriots won 24-17. I think it was the wrong call, but the league has justified it Monday. With the latest NFL lines up to date, here are two ATS betting matchups to choose as your NFL Week 7 picks: Tampa Bay at Buffalo and New Orleans at Green Bay.

Top ATS Betting Matchups & NFL Week 7 Picks

Buccaneers at Bills NFL Odds & Game Info

When: Sunday, 1 PM ET Where: New Era Field TV: Fox Radio: WDAE 620 AM (Tampa Bay) / WCMF 96.5 FM (Buffalo) Opening NFL Week 7 Lines: Bills -3

Why Bet On Tampa Bay?

Only if QB Jameis Winston plays. The former Heisman winner left Sunday’s 38-33 loss with a right shoulder injury. Winston took a crushing blow from Cardinals linebacker Chandler Jones on third down of the opening possession, falling hard on his throwing shoulder. He attempted to work through the injury but looked over at quarterbacks coach Mike Bajakian and shook his head. Winston has never missed a game since he was drafted in 2015. He’s never had a significant injury as a pro or a significant injury, period. The injury is being called a sprained AC joint but Winston could play through it. The Bucs were down 24-0 when Winston exited the game. He was able to throw on the sideline during the game but did not re-enter the contest. Backup Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 290 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions as Tampa scrapped to get back into the contest. Sitting at 2-3 in the bottom of the NFC South, the Bucs need him because 2-4 teams don’t make the playoffs often. It’s a tough matchup for Winston if he does play as Buffalo ranked fourth in pass DVOA through five weeks (per FO) and has limited quarterbacks to the second-lowest passer rating (66.5).

Top NFL Week 7 Picks to Bet Straight Up

Why Bet On Buffalo?

The Bills (3-2) are about as healthy as possible as they come off their bye week. The Bills on Monday activated OT Seantrel Henderson from suspension and waived CB Greg Mabin. Henderson, who served the final five games of a 10-game NFL substance-abuse suspension to begin the season, is the fifth offensive tackle on the 53-man roster. Coach Sean McDermott on Monday termed the right guard position an “ongoing competition” between Vladimir Ducasse and John Miller. After Miller started the first four games of the season, Ducasse got the start in Week 5. Will top WR Jordan Matthews play? Matthews (thumb) said he has yet to catch passes with his surgically-repaired hand. Matthews underwent thumb surgery on his right hand at the beginning of this month. He was spotted making one-handed grabs after practice on Monday, but he has yet to catch the ball with his injured hand. He has been doing some work with tennis balls. McDermott called Matthews day-to-day. The Bills won’t have tight end Charles Clay as he recently underwent arthroscopic surgery on his knee and will miss multiple weeks. He is dealing with a torn meniscus and sprained MCL.

Saints at Packers NFL Odds & Game Info

When: Sunday, 1 PM ET Where: Lambeau Field TV: Fox Radio: WWL 870 AM (New Orleans) / 620 WTMJ (Green Bay) Stream Option: DirecTV to Go Opening NFL Week 7 Lines: Saints -5.5

Why Bet on New Orleans?

The Saints (3-2) are on a three-game winning streak. They won the highest-scoring game of the year on Sunday, 52-38 over Detroit. Running backs Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara combined for 237 yards from scrimmage, and the Saints’ resurgent defense forced five turnovers and scored a franchise-record three times. New Orleans, which has a winning record for the first time since its last playoff season in 2013, built a five-touchdown lead and held on for dear life. Not bad for a Saints team that was reeling at 0-2 less than a month ago, following two straight double-digit losses to start the year. Are the Saints a safe betting pick for NFL Week 7? Not only did the Saints’ defense score three TDs for the first time in franchise history, but they had only scored one total defensive TD combined from 2013 to 2017 before Sunday. The first was a sack/fumble by DE Alex Okafor that was recovered by safety Kenny Vaccaro in the end zone in the first quarter. The second was an interception return for a TD by rookie cornerback Marshon Lattimore in the third quarter. And the biggest was a batted pass and interception by DE Cameron Jordan in the end zone with 5:08 remaining after the Lions had turned a 45-10 deficit into a 45-38 nail-biter. Drew Brees completed 21-of-31 passes for 186 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. His touchdowns came on simple passes. One was a dump off on a shallow crossing route Ted Ginn took 20 yards to the house, and the second was to a wide-open Michael Hoomanawanui in the end zone. Brees also threw a pick-six late with the Lions rallying.

Why Bet on Green Bay?

If you have faith in backup QB Brett Hundley, because two-time MVP Aaron Rodgers is likely done for the season after breaking his collarbone in Sunday’s loss to Minnesota.  The Packers were 6.5-point favorites over the Saints last week in an early line available at the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas. When the Westgate reposted the line Sunday night, after Rodgers’ injury, New Orleans was a 3.5-point favorite. Now it’s up to 5.5. Rodgers suffered the injury in the first quarter of the Packers’ 23-10 loss to the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday.  Hundley replaced him and struggled. Hundley’s first pass of the day was intercepted by cornerback Xavier Rhodes, which led to a Vikings touchdown drive. Hundley threw two more interceptions, along with a touchdown, and finished 18-of-33 passing for 157 yards in his first meaningful regular-season action since the Packers picked him in the fifth round of the 2015 draft. Rodgers missed seven games in 2013, after breaking his left collarbone. The Packers went 2-4-1 without Rodgers then and used three different quarterbacks: Seneca Wallace, Scott Tolzien and Matt Flynn.  The injury to his right (throwing) shoulder is expected to keep Rodgers out longer. He also needs surgery. Hundley will be backed up for now by Joe Callahan, a little-known QB who from Wesley College who has never taken a regular-season NFL snap. To make matters worse, right tackle Bryan Bulaga exited Week 6 against the Vikings with a concussion. Bulaga just returned Sunday from a multi-week ankle injury. It was the first time all season the Packers had their No. 1 offensive line, and Bulaga, LT David Bakhtiari, and LG Lane Taylor all got hurt again Sunday.

Expert Predictions for NFL Week 7

If Winston plays, Tampa will win in Buffalo. I’m taking the Packers getting those points at home even without Rodgers.
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