NFL Touchdowns and Scoring Super Bowl Prop Odds Betting Analysis

NFL Touchdowns and Scoring Super Bowl Prop Odds Betting Analysis

The Super Bowl is the greatest day for American sports bettors because gamblers can make more prop bets on the Super Bowl than on any other NFL game. Super Bowl LVI is no different. Check out odds, analysis, and free picks for Touchdowns Super Bowl Prop Odds and Scoring Super Bowl Prop Odds

Super Bowl Touchdowns and Touchdowns Scorer Props

Super Bowl LVI

  • When: Sunday, Feb. 13
  • Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
  • TV/Streaming: NBC / Peacock

Super Bowl LVI Total Touchdowns

  • Over 5.5 touchdowns -115
  • Under 5.5 touchdowns -115

It’s difficult seeing either team not scoring at least 2 touchdowns. So we’re up to 4 if both the Bengals and Rams score 2 TDs each. 

One team should get at least 21 points on 3 touchdowns. Now we’re up to five. If we think the score ends 27-24, no matter who you believe wins, that’s 6 TDs and 3 field goals. So let’s go with 3 TDs each, which means over is the play. 

Super Bowl Touchdowns Pick: Over 

Super Bowl LVI Longest Touchdown

  • Over 42.5 yards -115
  • Under 42.5 yards -115

Both teams have burners. Odell Beckham Jr. and Ja’Marr Chase can catch a pass and go for over 43 yards in the blink of an eye. 

Another reason to like over is because of Joe Mixon’s pass-catching ability. Cincinnati’s running back caught 42 passes for 314 yards. Mixon averaged just 7 yards per catch. But if he finds space in the open field, he’s got enough moves and enough speed to catch it on his own 30 and take it the distance. 

Super Bowl Touchdowns Pick: Over  

Super Bowl LVI Shortest Touchdown

  • Under 1.5 yards -130
  • Over 1.5 yards +100

The odds imply a quarterback sneak or some other TD happens near the goal line. That doesn’t always occur in a Super Bowl. 

At +100, over 1.5 yards presents an overlay. Both teams are great at getting the ball into the end zone once they step into the red zone. So the chance of over 1.5 yards being the shortest touchdown should be closer to -115 than +100.

Super Bowl Touchdowns Pick: Over  

Player to Score First TD – QB TD Passes Don’t Count

It’s all about fair odds. Joe Mixon offers terrific odds at +650. Mixon can catch for a TD or rush for a TD. So he’s a good play at the odds.

Tee Higgins is a terrific play at +1000. If Ramsey is on Chase, Burrow will look for Higgins in the red zone. 

If you like the Rams to score the first TD, look to back Odell Beckham Jr. before Cooper Kupp. Odell’s odds are better and the Bengals will be looking to stop Kupp in the red zone. 

Top Pick: Joe Mixon +650

Second Pick: Tee Higgins +1000

To Score a TD at Anytime

  • Cooper Kupp yes -240
  • Cooper Kupp no +175

Cooper Kupp, the NFL Offensive Player of the Year, should have a decent Super Bowl. But that doesn’t mean he gets a TD. Sean McVay figures to use Odell Beckham Jr. more than he has at any time during the season.

Both are difficult to cover. But Cooper should demand more attention while Odell could be left on an island. Taking a shot on “no” make sense. 

Super Bowl Touchdowns Pick: No 

To Score a TD at Anytime

  • Ja’Marr Chase yes -130 
  • Ja’Marr Chase no +100

We’ve got to back “no”. If Ramsey is on Chase, Ja’Marr become more of a decoy. So “no” is the play. 

Super Bowl Touchdowns Pick: No  

To Score a TD at Anytime

  • Odell Beckham Jr. yes -120 
  • Odell Beckham Jr. no -110

Yes for sure. Odell Beckham Jr. is one of the best wide receivers in the NFL. He gives Stafford a down the field target. Cooper Kupp is more of a possession receiver. So Odell figures to get loose for at least 1 TD or to beat his man once the Rams get into the red zone.  

Super Bowl Touchdowns Pick: Yes

 
 

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