2017 NFL Odds & Favorites to Win Their AFC Division

Trends & Stats To Study Before Betting On Super Bowl 51

Written by on January 24, 2017

The Super Bowl LI  matchup on February 5th in Houston is set as the AFC champion New England Patriots play in the Super Bowl for a record ninth time in franchise history. They go against the NFC champion Atlanta Falcons, who are in the big game for only the second time and looking for their first title. But have you seen the latest Super Bowl odds? You should check them out before reading any further.

Trends & Stats To Study Before Betting On Super Bowl 51

It’s two of the most explosive offenses and best quarterbacks in the NFL in Tom Brady and Matt Ryan. Thus a total of 58.5, which is the highest in Super Bowl history. The past two weekends – in four divisional-round games and Sunday’s two conference championships – the over has gone 5-1.

New England is in its seventh Super Bowl since the 2001 season and ninth appearance overall, with four victories to its credit. Brady and Co. eased past Pittsburgh 36-17 on Sunday night, easily covering the spread as a 5.5-point home favorite in the AFC Championship Game. The Patriots are now 16-2 straight up this year and 15-3 against the spread, leading the NFL in both categories.

Atlanta is in the Super Bowl for the first time since the 1998-99 season, when it lost to Denver 34-19 at Super Bowl XXXIII as a 7.5-point underdog in the title game. The Falcons advanced by hammering Green Bay 44-21 in Sunday’s NFC Championship Game as a 6.5-point home favorite. Atlanta is 13-5 straight up this year and 12-6 against the spread, winning their last six games in a row while going 5-1 against the spread.

The Patriots have been installed as 3-point favorites. Favorites have won 32 of 50 Super Bowls outright but underdogs have covered the number in eight of the last nine Super Bowls. If you are pondering a moneyline bet, the underdog has won outright in seven of those eight covers.

Atlanta is the home team in Houston — it rotates conferences each year — and thus will decide which color jersey to wear. The teams wearing the white jerseys have won 11 of the last 12 Super Bowls. All-time, the white team has an overall 32-18 record. The last team to wear a colored jersey and win the Super Bowl was the Green Bay Packers six years ago against the Steelers in Super Bowl XLV. The Falcons haven’t made a decision as of this writing but usually wear red at home and white on the road.

The previous highest Super Bowl total was between the Saints and Colts seven years ago when it was set at 56.5. The Saints won the game 31-17 so the total went under. It’s worth noting that all other totals of at least 50 points in Super Bowl history are a combined 5-2 to the over.

Houston is hosting its third Super Bowl. The first came in 1974 when Miami defeated Minnesota in SB VIII at Rice University. The game returned in 2004, with Reliant Stadium (now NRG Stadium) site of the Patriots’ win over Carolina in SB XXXVIII. The Patriots have covered only one of their past five Super Bowls. But then only one QB has beaten Brady in a Super Bowl: the Giants’ Eli Manning. He’s 4-0 against everyone else.

The Patriots have won four straight games vs. the Falcons. The teams, who will play in the 2017 regular season, haven’t faced off since early in the 2013 season, a 30-23 New England win at the Georgia Dome. Let’s just hope for a competitive game. It’s hard to remember a playoffs so devoid of exciting games. All but two games have been decided by 13 points or more. The Falcons have They have won six straight games by an average of 19.8 points.