While there’s no doubt that the legendary Tom Brady will assume the mantle of leadership when he suits up for his first game with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this season, there are still a handful of starting quarterback jobs that are currently undecided. While that may not be a good thing for any incumbent starter from a year ago, these relatively ‘open’ quarterback competitions could end up being great for your annual NFL betting bankroll.
Week 1 NFL Quarterback Odds – Trio of Teams Have ‘Open’ Competitions
You see, thanks to what looks like at least three competitions for starting quarterback jobs looming this offseason, you could cash in on the value-packed Week 1 NFL quarterback odds that are surrounding each one of these battles. With that thought in mind, let’s find out which starting quarterback jobs could be up for grabs and which players are offering the best value against their NFL odds.
New England Patriots
- Week 1 Starter Odds
- Jarrett Stidham -200
- Brian Hoyer +250
- Cam Newton +900
With Andy Dalton signing with Dallas and Cam Newton almost certainly not being Bill Belichick’s kind of guy, it looks like the post-Brady Patriots are going all in on former Auburn quarterback Jarrett Stidham. However, who knows how long Stidham will hold down the job or even if he’ll beat out the completely mediocre Brian Hoyer for that matter. Stidham played in three games as Tom Brady’s backup last season while completing two of the four passes he threw in 2019 for 14 yards with one interception and no touchdowns.
Not only that, but Stidham was average at best in college and finished his junior season at Auburn by completing just 60.7 percent of his passes while throwing 18 touchdown passes and five picks. In 37 collegiate games, Stidham completed 64.3 percent of his passes for 7,1217 yards while tossing 48 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Stidham was picked in the fourth round by New England in the 2019 draft and from what I’ve seen, he looks every bit the part of a fourth round pick.
While 34-year-old veteran signal-caller Brian Hoyer isn’t a ‘bad guy’ I’m not real fond of him simply because he puts the ‘M’ in mediocrity. In 69 NFL games, including 38 career starts, Hoyer has led his teams to an uninspiring 16-22 record while throwing 52 TD passes and 34 interceptions for an average of nearly one per start. Case in point, Hoyer threw four TD passes and an identical four picks in four appearances with Indianapolis last season and one start. Hoyer is on the roster because he’s veteran insurance.
As far as veteran quarterback Cam Newton is concerned, he’s by far, the best quarterback of the three and a player that, when healthy, is a dynamic force to be reckoned with. Three three-time Pro Bowler has won a league MVP (2015) and helped guide the Carolina Panthers to one Super Bowl appearance in eight seasons, not counting his missed 2019 campaign. While Newton is definitely be best quarterback of the three, he also comes with lingering injury issues that are exacerbated by his penchant for running and absorbing big hits. More importantly, Newton’s flamboyant ways would be a massive culture clash with the old-school, no-nonsense Bill Belichick. For better or worse, New England will be going with Jarrett Stidham to start the 2020 regular season.
Pick: Jarrett Stidham
- Week 1 Starter Odds
- Ryan Fitzpatrick -400
- Tua Tagovailoa +350
- Josh Rosen +2000
While there’s no doubt that the Miami Dolphins are making their future all about first round draft pick and future franchise signal-caller Tua Tagovailoa, the debate about who will open the 2020 season as the starter in South Beach really isn’t up for debate much if you ask me.
I know the 37-year-old Ryan Fitzpatrick can be stunningly fantastic or maddeningly inconsistent and owns a dismal 55-83-1 record as a starter, but he’s also got some great veteran leadership skills and he looked every bit the part of a leader in guiding Miami to a stunning 5-4 record over their final nine games last season.
While reports say that Tagovailoa, the fifth overall pick in this year’s draft, is back to full health following a scary hip injury that ruined his final season at Alabama, but I suspect the Dolphins will want to play it safe with their prized pick while allowing him time to learn the nuances of the NFL game. Simply put, these facts make Tagovailoa not the best pick here to win this wager.
Last, but not least, there’s also a slim chance that now, third-year signal-caller Josh Rosen could surpass Ryan Fitzpatrick in the preseason to become Miami’s opening fay starter, although I’m not real big on the 23-year-old Rosen beating out ‘FitzMagic’ since he couldn’t do it a year ago after Miami traded for the 10th overall pick in the 2018 NFL draft.
Pick: Ryan Fitzpatrick
Los Angeles Chargers
- Week 1 Starter Odds
- Tyrod Taylor -335
- Justin Herbert +300
- Cam Newton +2500
- Easton Stick +5000
The Chargers selected former Oregon star Justin Herbert with the sixth overall pick in the draft after parting ways with longtime franchise quarterback Philip Rovers following the 2019 season. While the strong-armed Herbert is clearly gifted and has the look of a future franchise signal-caller, I’m expecting the Bolts to almost assuredly kick off the 2020 season with veteran Tyrod Taylor under center. The 30-year-old has compiled a fine, 23-21-1 record as a starter. Taylor is also one of the most efficient passers of the ball with just 20 interceptions in a whopping 1,362 pass attempts. Again, while the 22-year-old Herbert looks like a potential future star in the league as he stands 6-6 with some nice mobility, right now, he’s going to need a while before he’s ready to start in L.A. head coach Anthony Lynn is very comfortable with Taylor under center and right now, the veteran will give the Chargers the best chance to win in 2020, making this wager close to a lock selection.
Pick: Tyrod Taylor