NFL Week 10: Browns vs Patriots Betting Analysis & Prediction

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Baker Mayfield leads the Cleveland Browns into Gillette Stadium on Sunday for a date with Mac Jones and the New England Patriots. Browns versus Patriots is being hailed as a game with playoff implications. New England is a -1 ½ favorite. Will Jones lead the Patriots to their fourth straight win? Or will Mayfield and the Browns prove the impressive victory against the Bengals in NFL Week 9 wasn’t a fluke? Check out NFL odds, analysis, and a free pick for Cleveland versus New England. 

NFL Betting Preview for Cleveland Browns at New England

NFL Week 10 Betting | Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots Game Odds & Info

• When: Sunday, Nov. 14 at 1:00 pm ET
• Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA 
• TV / Streaming: CBS / Paramount + 
• ATS Odds: New England -1 ½   
• Moneyline Odds: Cleveland +105 / New England -125
• Over/Under Odds: 45  

Why bet on Cleveland versus New England?

The Browns demolished Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 9. The most impressive part about the 41-16 victory was how Cleveland’s D picked off Burrow twice. One one of the interceptions, Denzel Ward scored a 99-yard TD. The Browns’ defense appears to be rounding into it’s best form. That’s bad news for Jones and New England’s offense. 

Cleveland Browns Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 380.1

• Passing Yards: 219.9

• Rushing Yards: 160.2

• Points Scored: 24.9

• Turnovers: 8

Cleveland Browns Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 309.7

• Passing Yards: 224.9

• Rushing Yards: 84.8

• Points Scored: 21.8

• Takeaways: 7

Why bet on New England versus Cleveland?

If not for an overtime loss to the very good Dallas Cowboys, the New England Patriots would be looking for their fifth straight victory on Sunday. New England has won games by dominating on the scoreboard, the Pats beat the Jets 54-13, and by leaning on their defense, New England went to SoFi Stadium and upset the Chargers 27-24. Bill Belichick should make the right adjustments for the Patriots to win their fourth in a row. 

New England Patriots Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 345.6

• Passing Yards: 238.8

• Rushing Yards: 106.8

• Points Scored: 25.6

• Turnovers: 14

New England Patriots Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 340.3

• Passing Yards: 231.4

• Rushing Yards: 108.9

• Points Scored: 18.9

• Takeaways: 16

Browns at Patriots Relevant Trends

• Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 on the road
• Cleveland is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points
• Over is 4-0 in the Browns’ last 4 versus a team with a winning record
• Patriots are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game
• New England is 4-11-1 ATS in their last 15 following a straight up win
• Over is 4-0 in the Patriots’ last 4 games on field turf 

Cleveland Browns versus New England Patriots Final Betting Prediction

Cleveland has talent on both sides of the football. But the Browns greatest strength is rushing the pigskin. Unfortunately, New England is very good at stopping the rush.

If the Browns can’t lean on Nick Chubb, they will have to turn to Baker Mayfield. The former Heisman Trophy winner can be up or down. 

The guess here is that he’ll have a down game because few coaches can put together a specific game plan to frustrate an opposing quarterback like Bill Belichick. Not only that, but Cleveland is 1-8 against the spread after a dominating victory.

The Browns are the perfect bounce candidate. New England wins and covers. 

NFL Week 10 Pick: New England Patriots

Patriots to Win Against Browns: Bet On the Game

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