NFL Week 4 Parlay Picks

Will we see another overtime game around the NFL in Week 4? For the 10th time ever and first time since 2018, a game has gone to overtime in each of the first three weeks of the season. The Raiders already have played two OT games. Here are two matchups worth a parlay look for Week 4.

Betting Analysis NFL Week 4

Houston at Buffalo (-17.5)

This could be the biggest spread we will see all season. Buffalo QB Josh Allen passed for 358 yards and four touchdowns and added one rushing touchdown in the Bills’ 43-21 win over Washington. He hooked up with Emmanuel Sanders for a pair of scores and threw one each to Zack Moss and Dawson Knox. Allen completed 10 of 15 passes for 200 yards and two TDs on throws of more than 10 yards downfield, tied for his second-most completions on those throws in a game in his career.

Allen is the fourth player in NFL history to record multiple career games with at least 300 passing yards, four touchdown passes and one rushing touchdown, joining Drew Brees (four games), Aaron Rodgers (three) and Hall of Famer Peyton Manning (two). He registered 311 passing yards with four touchdown passes and one rushing touchdown in Week 3 of the 2020 season.

Allen is the fifth player ever to record five games with at least 300 passing yards and four touchdown passes in his first four seasons, joining Patrick Mahomes (nine games), Hall of Famers Dan Marino and (nine) and Kurt Warner (six), and Andrew Luck (six).

Houston played last Thursday and lost 24-9 at home to Carolina as rookie Texans QB Davis Mills made his first NFL start with Tyrod Taylor out injured – Mills will start again this week. Mills completed 19-of-28 passes for 168 yards, one touchdown and zero interceptions. The No. 67 overall pick absorbed one bone-crushing hit after another, taking four sacks and nine hits.

Mills succeeded in an area that Culley and offensive coordinator Tim Kelly stressed going into the game: taking care of the football. During the preseason, Mills completed 48% of his passes and threw four interceptions in 65 attempts.

“What we did find out coming out of this game is that he can handle a lot more than what we felt like, because of the way he handled himself in this ballgame,” Culley said. “Moving forward, we’ll just get back to doing the things that we had started doing in that first game and a half when Tyrod (Taylor) was our starting quarterback.”

Arizona at LA Rams (-6)

These teams are tied atop the NFC West with 3-0 records. Arizona quarterback Kyler Murray passed for 316 yards and added a rushing touchdown in the Cardinals‘ 31-19 win at Jacksonville on Sunday as Arizona improved to 3-0 for the first time since 2015.

Murray has rushed for a touchdown in each of his team’s first three games for the second season in a row. The only other quarterbacks with a rushing touchdown in each of their team’s first three games of a season since 1970 are Hall of Famer Terry Bradshaw (1972) and Charlie Frye (2006).

Arizona is 5-12-1 with Murray as its starting quarterback when down nine points or more. Two of those wins have come in the past two weeks.

“To see us fight through that and come on the road, obviously, any given Sunday, not looking at anybody’s record, you can be beat on any given Sunday by anybody,” Murray said. “So, it’s good to get a win any way you can. That’s what we came out here and did, and that was the goal coming on the road, getting a win and that’s what we’re leaving with.”

The Rams beat the Bucs 34-24 on Sunday. Receiver DeSean Jackson recorded a 75-yard touchdown reception. Jackson is the fifth player in the Super Bowl era to register 10 career touchdowns of at least 75 yards, joining Devin Hester (14 touchdowns), Dante Hall (11), Josh Cribbs (10) and Tyreek Hill (10).

Matthew Stafford completed 27-of-38 passes for 373 yards and four touchdowns in the win. Stafford tormented a Tampa secondary that had allowed a 72 percent completion rate headed into Week 3, picking them apart underneath with Cooper Kupp and Tyler Higbee, and over the top with Jackson. The Rams’ passing attack was unstoppable on a day where they didn’t even pretend to establish the run against the fearsome Tampa front four.

“He pushes it down the field so easily,” Bucs coach Bruce Arians said about Stafford. “You’re right up in his face one time, he finds a guy wide open down the field and gets it to him. A lot of guys, they see it but they can’t get it to him. He’s a special player.”

Expert picks

  • Texans and Rams
 

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