NFL 2021 Win/Loss Odds Analysis and Betting Prediction For Houston Texans

NFL 2021 Win/Loss Odds Analysis and Betting Prediction For Houston Texans

One of the most intriguing teams this upcoming NFL Season are the Houston Texans. The Texans recently said they’d field offers for in trouble quarterback Deshaun Watson. But although the Texans want to move Watson, there’s a chance Deshaun continues playing for Houston. Will Watson’s presence, or lack thereof, affect the Houston Texans’ win total for the new NFL Season? Let’s try to answer that question so you can plan your bets against their NFL Team Totals odds.

Houston Texans Win/Loss Betting Odds and Prediction for the 2021-22 Season

2021 NFL Season

  • When: Sep. 9, 2021 – Jan. 9, 2022
Houston Texans Win Totals
  • Over 4 / Under 4

How will the Texans’ NFL schedule affect their win total based on Watson playing or not?

Houston landed the National Football League’s fifteenth toughest schedule. In addition to playing their usual AFC South Division opponents, the Tennessee Titans, Indianapolis Colts, and Jacksonville Jaguars, Houston must play the NFC West and NFC East. 

The Bills, Dolphins, Patriots, and Jets are on the schedule. So are the San Francisco, Los Angeles, Seattle, and Arizona. 

Whether Watson plays or not, the schedule is brutal. The Bills and Dolphins are playoff contenders. As are the 49ers, Rams, Seahawks, and Cardinals. In their own division, the Titans and Colts should also challenge for a playoff spot. 

What are the games Houston should win?

If everything goes right for the Houston Texans, they could, possibly, sweep the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 1 and Week 15.

The Texans should have a shot versus the New York Jets in Week 12. Again, this has nothing to do with whether Deshaun Watson plays for the Houston Texans or not.

Why? As good as Watson is, former general manager and coach, Bill O’Brien, gutted the team well before Watson’s issues developed. The Texans are an awful team because of what O’Brien did before skating out of town to become the offensive coordinator with the Alabama Crimson Tide. 

O’Brien traded the best wide receiver in the league, DeAndre Hopkins, for a running back coming off an injury. That’s all we must know about how awful O’Brien left the Texans before taking the stint in Tuscaloosa. 

What are the games the Texans will most likely lose?

Houston should lose a lot of games. Watson’s value is much worse now than it was before the 20 or so lawsuits. So trading Deshaun won’t yield much in return. 

Here’s a list of all the games the Texans should lose. 

  • Week 2 at Cleveland
  • Week 3 vs. Carolina
  • Week 4 at Buffalo
  • Week 5 vs. New England
  • Week 6 at Indianapolis
  • Week 7 at Arizona
  • Week 8 vs. Los Angeles Rams
  • Week 9 at Miami Dolphins
  • Week 11 at Tennessee Titans
  • Week 13 vs. Indianapolis
  • Week 14 vs. Seattle 
  • Week 16 vs. Los Angeles Chargers
  • Week 17 at San Francisco 49ers
  • Week 18 vs. Tennessee Titans

Based on the above, the Texans should lose 14-of-17 NFL contests this season. 

Final Analysis: Will the Houston Texans over or under the 4 win total?

You probably already know that based on our analysis, the Texans should win just 3 games this season, which means Houston will go under the total.

There’s a good chance that Houston doesn’t win a single game in the 2021-2022 NFL Season. The Texans are a mess of a franchise. O’Brien destroyed the team. Watson’s supposed egregiousness makes him unfit to trade for a high-value pick or a suitable replacement player.

The Texans are likely to start a second-string or third-strong quarterback in every game this season. Expect Houston to be in a battle with themselves for next year’s top pick. 

Houston has the inside edge for toilet bowl honors over teams like the Lions and Jets because they lack talent on both sides of the ball. The Lions have a legit starting quarterback, Jared Goff, under center. 

The Jets drafted Zach Wilson. So NYJ is already on their way to rebuilding. 

Seahawks Total Pick: Under 4

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