Will anyone beat the Penrith Panthers this season? Do the lowly Brisbane Broncos stand a chance of upsetting the Parramatta Eels in their Round 7 matchup of polar opposites? Could the New Zealand Warriors get the big road win over the Melbourne Storm? With a new week of action ahead, it’s time to find out which teams are offering the best value against their Rugby odds.
Rugby Betting Predictions – NRL Round 7 Action Set to Get Underway
Penrith Panthers (6-0-0) Vs Newcastle Knights (3-0-3)
- When: Thursday, April 2, at 4:50 a.m.
- Where: BlueBet Stadium, Penrith
- NRL Odds: Newcastle +575 / Penrith -1428
Penrith got past Brisbane 20-12 on the road on Thursday in Round 6 to remain unbeaten on the season. Newcastle picked up a much-needed win by getting past the Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 26-22 on Friday to level their record at three up and three down. Penrith is the only unbeaten team in the league and has scored 160 points while routinely shutting down the opposition by conceding a league-low 38 points (+122). Newcastle is in 10th place in the NRL ladder, but has been limited to 127 points while allowing 142 points defensively (-15). Penrith is 3-0 at home this season while Newcastle has gone 1-1 on the road.
For Penrith, back-rower Kurt Capewell has been named in the centers to replace the suspended Paul Momirovski. Hooker Api Koroisau could suit up if he’s fully healthy. For Newcastle, Hymel Hunt suffered a hamstring injury against the Sharks and is replaced on the wing by Starford To’a. Tex Hoy (hamstring) remains sidelined.
“We certainly hope so, he’s got to get through [training on Wednesday] but we’re hopeful,” said coach Ivan Cleary. “We’re not going to risk him. We’ve got a few options.”
Prediction: The Panthers have conceded only two second-half tries this season and simply make life extremely difficult for their opponents to score at all. While the Knights were one of only three teams that did not lose to the Panthers in 2020, I just don’t see them getting a win or draw on Thursday night. There’s a reason unbeaten Penrith is such a huge favorite. The Panthers win and win big.
Pick: Panthers 26 Knights 12
Parramatta Eels (5-1-0) Vs Brisbane Broncos (1-0-5)
- When: Friday, April 23 at 3:00 a.m.
- Where: TIO Stadium, Darwin
- NRL Odds: Brisbane +361 / Parramatta -625
Parramatta is sitting in third place in the NRL ladder. The Eels have scored 151 points while allowing 90 points defensively (+61).
Parramatta rolled all over Canberra 35-10 in Round 6 on Saturday to move to 5-0-1 on the season. Brisbane is mired in 14th place in the NRL ladder with a modest 80 points scored and 147 points allowed (-67).
The Broncos lost for the fifth time in six weeks by losing to Penrith 20-12 at home on Thursday in Round 6. For Parramatta, Dylan Brown will return from suspension at five-eighth. For Brisbane, center Herbie Farnworth is set to his return from a shoulder injury while new hooker recruit Danny Levi joins the interchange bench.
Prediction: The Eels have won five of their last six games at Darwin’s TIO Stadium while the Broncos have lost a whopping 12 consecutive road games. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to see a huge win here for Parramatta.
Pick: Eels 32 Broncos 8
Melbourne Storm (4-0-2) Vs New Zealand Warriors (3-0-3)
- When: Sunday, April 25 at 3:15 a.m.
- Where: AAMI Park, Melbourne
- NRL Odds: New Zealand +486 / Melbourne -1111
Melbourne is in fourth place in the NRL ladder with 160 points scored and 74 points allowed (+86). The Storm overpowered the perennially-powerful Sydney Roosters 20-4 at home in Round 6 on Friday to move two games over .500 on the season. New Zealand is in eighth place in the NRL ladder with 113 points scored, but 116 points allowed (-3). The Warriors evened their record by subduing the St. George Illwarra Dragons 20-14 despite being on the road in Round 6.
For Melbourne, forward Dale Finucane has been named on the bench to play his first match of the year after a calf injury. Star fullback Ryan Papenhuyzen (shoulder) is out of this week with Nicho Hynes promoted from the interchange to suit up in the No.1 jersey. For New Zealand, injuries to Peta Hiku (dislocated shoulder) and Adam Pompey (ankle) have forced a backline reshuffle. Now, teenagers Reece Walsh and Rocco Berry could both make their debuts. David Fusitu’a is set to return from a hamstring injury on the wing and Marcelo Montoya has moved to center.
Prediction: Melbourne has won an impressive 12 straight at home and New Zealand has has not defeated the Storm on Anzac Day since 2014. Melbourne gets it done with a strong second half.
Pick: Storm 22, Warriors 14