Benfica Vs Ajax Betting Analysis - 2022 Champions League Round of 16 Odds

Benfica Vs Ajax Betting Analysis – 2022 Champions League Round of 16 Odds

One of the top underdogs to win the Champions League steps onto the pitch at Johan Cruijff Arena on Tuesday when Ajax Amsterdam hosts Portuguese Liga squad Benfica. Benfica and Ajax drew 2-2 in the last head-to-head, the first leg of a two leg CL matchup. Will Ajax close the door on their rivals? Or will the underdog find a way to upset the chalk and move to the quarterfinals? Check out Champions League odds, analysis, and a free pick for Benfica at Ajax. 

Benfica vs Ajax Betting Odds | UCL Round of 16 Analysis for 2nd Leg Match

Benfica at Amsterdam – UEFA Champions League Betting Info

  • When: Tuesday, March 15 at 4:00 pm ET
  • Where: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam Netherlands,  

Why Benfica will beat Ajax

Benfica is in very good form. The Portuguese Liga squad hasn’t lost in five straight. Not only that, but they’ve outscored their last 3 opponents 6 goals to 2. Also, facing Ajax as a slight home underdog, Benfica rolled to a 2-2 score. The dog showed they can hang with the chalk. Benfica has a tough hill to climb because this happens at Johan Cruijff Arena, but the road squad has proven they can hang with the favored team.     

Benfica Last 5

  • D – 1-1 vs. Vizela 
  • W – 1-2 vs. Portimonense
  • W – 3-0 vs. Guimaraes 
  • D – 2-2 vs. Ajax Amsterdam
  • D – 2-2 vs. Boavista 

Benfica Predicted Starting Lineup

  • Vlachodimos
  • Vertonghen
  • Otamendi
  • Grimaldo
  • Lazaro
  • Weigl
  • Taarabt
  • Everton
  • Rafa
  • Nunez
  • Ramos

Why Ajax will beat Benfica

Ajax followed up the draw with Benfica in the first match with a 2-1 loss to Go Ahead Eagles. But since losing to Go Ahead, Ajax has rolled to 3 straight victories. In the three wins, the home favorite outscored their opponents a combined 8 goals to 4. Now back to playing their best soccer. Ajax should have no trouble winning this match.

Ajax Last 5

  • W – 2-3 vs. SC Cambuur
  • W – 3-2 vs. RKC Waalwijk
  • W – 0-2 vs. AZ Alkmaar 
  • L – 2-1 vs. Go Ahead Eagles
  • D – 2-2 vs. Benfica

Ajax Predicted Starting Lineup

  • Pasveer
  • Martinez
  • Timber
  • Blind
  • Mazraoui
  • Alvarez
  • Berghuis
  • Danilo
  • Haller
  • Tadic
  • Antony

 Final Betting Analysis: Ajax vs Benfica 

Benfica has played great just to get to this point. The Portuguese League power played a marvelous match in the first leg, matching Ajax’s 2 goals.

But although Benfica played well, the road dog is up against it versus Ajax in this. The home team is as solid as it gets. Ajax’s loss to Go Ahead Eagles was their first since Dec. 12.

Not only that, but even though Amsterdam left Lisbon with a 2-2 draw, Ajax controlled the match from the outset. The home favorite had possession 60% of the time.

Ajax also took 8-of-11 shots on goal. Benfica took 17 shots but only 4 were on goal. In hindsight, Ajax should have won the match by at least a goal.

No worries. Amsterdam will step it up on Tuesday. Expect Ajax to roll to a 2-goal victory, making the handicap the play.   

Champions League Pick: Ajax -1 ½


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