Expert Analysis for the Top Serie A Games from Apr. 7th - 11th

Expert Analysis for the Top Serie A Games from Apr. 7th – 11th

Written by on April 6, 2021

One of the most important Serie A matches of the week happens on Wednesday, April 7. Juventus hosts Napoli a -109 favorite. Check out analysis, Serie A odds and a free pick for that match as well as all the other great Serie A matches from Wednesday to Sunday.

Top Serie A Games to Watch this Week (From Apr. 7th to 11th)

Wednesday, April 7th Matches

  • Napoli +274 / Juventus -109

Juventus looks solid enough to back, but the odds on Napoli make them an overlay. The road squad is in better form. Napoli has won four in a row while Juvy lost to Benevento and drew with Torino in their last two. If the odds were slightly in Juventus’ favor, we might bite. But at +274, we must give the road squad a shot.

Soccer Free Pick: Napoli 

  • Sassuolo +1 ½ (-107) / Inter Milano -1 ½ (-123)

On the Serie A Standings, Inter Milano has an 8 point lead over second-place AC Milan. It’s difficult to see Inter imploding from now until the end of the season. Milano has won their last five matches. They beat Sassuolo 3-0 in the last head-to-head on Nov. 28.

Soccer Free Pick: Inter Milano 

Saturday, April 10th Matches

  • Crotone +292 / Spezia -126

Crotone has gone 1-4 in their last five. Spezia isn’t in great form, though. Not only that but in the last head-to-head, the road team in this dominated Spezia 4-1. The odds on Spezia don’t justify a bet. We’re going with Crotone.  

Soccer Free Pick: Crotone 

  • AC Milan -147 / Parma +376

AC Milan and Parma almost show the exact form. The difference? AC has played against much better squads overall. On Dec. 13, Parma and AC drew 2-2. Although Milan should win, it’s difficult to look past Parma. The odds make Parma an overlay and AC an underlay.

Soccer Free Pick: Parma  

  • Torino +213 / Udinese +125

Udinese has a couple of losses and a couple of draws in their last five. The victory happened against Sassuolo on March 6. Udinese beat Sassuolo 2-0. Torino’s lone win in their last five also happened versus Sassuolo. Udinese beat Torino 3-2 in the last head-to-head. Even though Torino drew with Juventus in their last, the home team is the play.

Soccer Free Pick: Udinese 

Sunday, April 11th Matches

  • Napoli -140 / Sampdoria +334

No matter what happens when Napoli battles Juventus on Wednesday, the road squad in this is a good play on the moneyline. Napoli beat Sampdoria 4-2 last Feb. 3. Last Dec. 13, they beat Sampdoria 2-1.

Soccer Free Pick: Sampdoria 

  • Lazio +100 / Hellas Verona +254

Lazio is 3-1 straight up in their last four matches. The road team fell to Hellas Verona by a goal on Dec. 12. But last July, Lazio dominated Hellas Verona 5-1. Although Hellas shouldn’t lose by that many goals, Lazio warrants a long look. The +100 odds entice. 

Soccer Free Pick: Lazio 

  • Genoa +1 ½ (+104) / Juventus -1 ½ (-136)

Juventus’ form has turned south. Ronaldo and his mates could definitely turn their form around enough to beat Genoa by a couple of goals. But in the last head-to-head, Juvy won by a single goal. At the odds, Juvy is a play against on the handicap. 

Soccer Free Pick: Genoa 

  • Bologna +343 / As Roma -151

Roma has won two, lost two, and drawn once in their last five. Bologna lost their last. Before that, they had beaten both Sampdoria and Crotone. As Roma should win this match. But laying -151 is asking too much. Bologna gets the nod. 

Soccer Free Pick: Bologna  

  • Atalanta -163 / Fiorentina +388

Atalanta has won 3-of-4. The lone loss happened versus Real Madrid in a Champions League match. Real is on fire. There’s no shame in losing to them. Fiorentina lost to AC Milan on March 21 and drew with Fiorentina 1-1 on April 3. In the last head-to-head, Atalanta smoked Fiorentina 3-0. Backing the road chalk to win this match.

Soccer Free Pick: Atalanta

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