Final Week of the ATP 1000 BNP Paribas Open Odds and Picks

Final Week of the ATP 1000 BNP Paribas Open Odds and Picks

Written by on March 13, 2023

Also known as the Indian Wells Masters, the BNP Paribas Open is widely considered to be the fifth major in tennis. Unlike most other tournaments, the Paribas Open starts with a field of 128 players, just like the majors, and also has both the men and women’s tournaments going on at the same time. Played in the Coachella Valley near Palm Springs, Indian Wells can be a grueling tournament, not just with the draw, but also the weather. 

The ATP 1000 BNP Paribas Open is without a pair of the top players in the world this week as Novak Djokovic was not allowed to enter the United States due to his lack of vaccination, and Rafael Nadal is still injured. Those two have combined for eight titles at this event and 10 finals appearances in their careers. 

Even without those two, the tournament has star power, and the ATP draw included the last three winners when the event began. However, the 2019 champion Dominic Thiem lost in the first round, leaving 2021 winner Cameron Norrie and defending champion Taylor Fritz in the draw.

Let’s take a look at the ATP odds from MyBookie for the Paribas Open at Indian Wells.


MYBOOKIE: ATP 1000 BNP Paribas Open

Category: ATP Tour Masters 1000 (Men) | WTA 1000 (Women)
When: March 6–19, 2023
Where: Indian Wells, California, United States
Court Surface: Outdoor hardcourt
Prize Money: $8,800,000 (ATP) | $8,800,000 (WTA)
Defending Champion(s): Taylor Fritz (Men’s Singles), John Isner and Jack Sock (Men’s Doubles) Iga Swiatek (Women’s Singles), Yang Zhaoxuan and Xu Yifan (Women’s Doubles)


Favorites Still Alive

With the tournament down to 24 players from the starting field of 128, the top two favorites are still alive. No. 1 seed Carlos Alcaraz started the tournament as the favorite with one clay court title under his belt this season and another loss in a final. The 2022 U.S. Open champion has proved himself on hard court and reached the semis last year at Indian Wells before falling to Nadal.

No. 3 seed Daniil Medvedev is on a roll, and he’s the other big favorite in this event. Medvedev gave Djokovic his first defeat of 2023 at Dubai and has won three straight events. He lost in the third round at Indian Wells last year but is already through to the fourth round this year. 


Former Champs

Keep an eye on No. 4 seed Taylor Fritz, playing in his home event. Last year he defeated Nadal in straight sets to win the title, and he’s playing great tennis in 2023. 

The draw is kind as well, with a match against No. 30 Sebastian Baez on Monday and then an unseeded player in the fourth round. Fritz could face Alcaraz in the semifinals but won’t be intimidated by that matchup, given his success at this event. 

Likewise, Cameron Norrie is still alive on the bottom of the draw after beating qualifiers in both the second and third rounds. The No. 10 seed faces No. 6 Andrey Rublev next and then either American Frances Tiafoe or qualifier Alejandro Tabilo in the quarters. 


Monday Matchups

American Tommy Paul is an underdog at MyBookie for his Monday matchup against No. 9 Hubert Hurkcaz. Paul is +110, while Hurkacz is -140 in this third-round matchup. They have only played once, and Hurkacz won indoors in 2021 by the score of 7-5, 7-6. 

Their records are remarkably similar in 2023, with Paul at 12-4 and Hurkacz at 12-5. Both won their first match 6-3, 6-3 this week, and the crowd could give Paul the boost he needs to pull the upset on Monday. 


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