NFL Betting Analysis: Detroit Lions 2023

NFL Betting Analysis: Detroit Lions 2023

Winning in the NFL and making it to the playoffs is dependent on several different factors, which includes the state of the other teams in the division. Last year, the Detroit Lions ended the season with a 9-8 record, well off the pace set by the Vikings, who won the NFC North and went to the postseason. This year, the entire division seems to be in a state of flux, which might well play into the hands of the Lions. This does seem like a real opportunity for this team to take another step forward, but we have thought that about Lions teams in the past, most notably with Matthew Stafford under center, so there is still a feeling of uncertainty despite a promising 2022 season. Let’s take a look at the current NFL odds for the Lions and how they might do this year.

 

Detroit Lions 2023 Season Betting Analysis | NFL Lines by MyBookie

 

Lions Win Total – O/U 9 ½

It seems clear from this total that the bookies are not entirely sold on the Lions taking another forward step this season. The problem here is that their season seems very much split in two in terms of difficulty. The first half of the season is undeniably tough, including opening the season on the road to the Chiefs, while the second half seems much more manageable.

If the Lions are going to take a run at the North, and go over the win total in the process, they are going to need to try and find a way to win some tough games early on, while taking advantage of their divisional games, the majority of which come in the second half of the season. I saw enough from this team last year to think they might just be able to do enough to get to double-digit wins in 2023.

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Lions to Win the NFC West or Make the Playoffs

As we mentioned earlier, the NFC North is a division in a state of change, with every team seemingly either making big changes or rebuilding. The harsh reality is that a 9-8 or 10-7 record might well be enough to get the job done. Right now, the Lions are in at +145 to win the division and -170 to make the playoffs. Both of these seem like bets worth taking right now, keeping in mind that this team might well get off to a losing start given their schedule. It might be worth waiting to see how things go, as those odds might get longer and become a little more tempting. I’m not quite ready to hail the Lions as a division winner, but it would not take much to sway me.

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Conference & Super Bowl

Okay, so let’s assume that the Lions do find a way into the postseason, how far would they go, and where would they be seeded in the NFC? There are only 3 teams ahead of the Lions in the odds to win the conference right now, with Detroit in at +890 to win the NFC. All of this seems to suggest that they are a definite pick to make the playoffs, with the assumption being that they will do so as a division winner. Again, I am holding off on that.

I do believe that the Super Bowl is a bridge too far for this team at the moment, and the bookies agree, listing them at +2500 on the board.

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I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?

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