College Football Bowls Second Round Betting Mismatches

How to Bet California vs Air Force Armed Forces Bowl Odds

Written by on December 28, 2015

The California Golden Bears will look to air it out wile the Air Force Falcons try to pound and ground their way to victory when the two teams square off in the 2015 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl in Fort Worth, Texas on Tuesday, December 29 at 2:00 PM ET. The teams are meeting for the first time since the 2007 Armed Forces Bowl, when the Golden Bears roared back from a 21-point deficit to record a thrilling 42-36 victory. Now let’s find out who’s going to win and cash in on this NCAA football betting bout!

How To Bet The California Golden Bears vs. Air Force Falcons Armed Forces Bowl Odds & TV Info

When: Tuesday, December 29, 2:00 PM ET
Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas
LINE: Cal -7
O/U: 67

The California Golden Bears are favored to beat Air Force by a touchdown while Cal is a -280 pick against the Moneyline and Cal sits at +230. The Over /Under Total sits at 67.

Why Bet Air Force Falcons Odds at +7

Because they can run the ball with anyone! Air Force’s powerful rushing attack ranked third in the nation by averaging a stunning 321.8 rushing yards per game. Unfortunately, the Falcons (8-5 SU, 9-4 ATS) ride a two-game losing streak into this contest after winning their previous five games. Air Force closed out their regular season campaign with a crushing 27-24 loss against San Diego State in their conference championship game. Tailback Jacobi Owens will lead the rushing attack after starting the final seen games and putting up a season-high 156 yards against San Diego State.

Senior quarterback Karson Roberts has rushed for nine touchdowns while tossing an identical nine TD passes. Roberts rushed for an average of 111.2  yards per game and was sacked only twice all season. The bad news for the Falcons is that all five of their losses this season have come away from home. Senior defensive end Alex Hansen earned First-Team All-Mountain West honors with 7.5 sacks and 15.5 tackles for loss, but the Falcons gave up a whopping 33 points per game over their final four contests prior to this affair.

The Falcons also have an outstanding player in safety Weston Steelhammer who recorded a team-high 80 tackles and five interceptions.

Why Bet The California Golden Bears Odds at -7

Because the Bears have an elite quarterback and an explosive offense! Led by gifted quarterback Jared Goff, Cal (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) won two of its final three games to earn its first bowl game berth since 2011. Along the way, Goff broke his own single-season school records for passing yards (4,252) and touchdowns (37). Goff, who is expected to forego his senior year and declare for the NFL draft, has thrown for a school-record 90 career touchdown passes as the Bears put up a stellar 36.5 points per game to rank 23rd in scoring.

Defensively, linebacker Hardy Nickerson recorded a team-high 101 tackles for the Golden Bears, but Cal also ranked a discouraging 104th against the run (203.5 ypg) while allowing a whopping 30.2 points per game to finish 88th. The Bears will have a trio of previously injured players back on the field in running back Daniel Lasco, wide receiver Kenny Lawler and safety Damariay Drew.

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

Despite losing their final two games – and the fact that 61 percent of the betting public likes Cal to cash in – I am going to urge you to back the Air Force Falcons in this contest because of their superior defense. The Golden Bears traditionally fall apart late in the season and have gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven Bowl games, 1-5 ATS in their last half-dozen games overall. Conversely, Air Force has put together a ton f fantastic ATS trends like their 6-1 ATS mark in their last seven non-conference games or 4-1 ATS mark in their last five bowl games.

While the Golden Bears have been busy going 0-5 ATS in their L/5 games against a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games, the Falcons have gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record, 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games and 4-1 ATS in their last five Bowl games.

My final score prediction: Cal 35 Air Force 31