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Kansas at West Virginia NCAA Football Week 6 Odds & Pick

Kansas at West Virginia NCAA Football Week 6 Odds & Pick

Written by on October 4, 2018

NCAA Football Betting News
Will Grier and the eighth-ranked  West Virginia Mountaineers almost certainly won’t have any trouble dispatching the clearly overmatched Kansas Jayhawks when they square off in their Week 6 Big 12 battle on Saturday. However, the Mountaineers face a tall task in trying to cover the spread as four-touchdown home favorites. Let’s find out if they can when this game goes down live from West Virginia’s Milan Puskar Stadium.

Kansas at West Virginia NCAA Football Week 6 Odds & Pick

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 26°C/78°F
  • Humidity: 74%
  • Precipitation: 18%
  • Wind: 5 mph SW
  • Cloud Cover: 25%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On The Kansas Jayhawks?

Why should you bet on Kansas in this Week 6 Big 12 battle? Because they’re getting just over four touchdowns worth of points. The Jayhawks have dropped two straight and are coming off a humbling 48-28 blowout loss at home against Oklahoma State last weekend. Quarterback Carter Stanley completed 24 of 32 passes for 247 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions in his first star, but Kansas’ defense gave up four TD passes in the loss while allowing Oklahoma State running back Justice Hill to shred them for 189 rushing yards and one score on 31 carries. “I was definitely happy to be out there, no doubt,” Stanley said. “Felt good. But me personally, I know I can — on some simple stuff, some simple stuff that may not seem like a big deal — I know I can be a lot better in certain situations.” “They had a really good gameplan, and they executed it,” Jayhawks head coach David Beaty said afterward. “That was the key.” While Kansas managed to beat Central Michigan on the road in Week 2, the Jayhawks have just two road wins since 2009.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 28.80
  • Total Yards: 359.80
  • Pass Yards: 176.80
  • Rush Yards: 183
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 24.20
  • Total Yards: 206.48
  • Pass Yards: 177.20
  • Rush Yards: 29.28

Why Bet On The West Virginia Mountaineers?

Is West Virginia a safe bet for NCAA Football Week 6? Why should you bet on No. 8 West Virginia in this contest? Well, because West Virginia is playing at home in this contest, plus they’re the far better offensive team in this matchup. The Mountaineers are coming off a high-scoring 42-34 win over Texas Tech last weekend and have won 10 of their last 13 home games. Grier threw for 370 yards and three touchdowns in the win as west Virginia had to hold off Texas Tech for the win. “I focused all week on starting fast,” West Virginia coach Dana Holgorsen said. “I guess I forgot to tell them there was a second half.” Heisman Trophy candidate Will Grier is completing 72.1 percent of his passes for 1,487 yards with a stupendous 17 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Grier has thrown three or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 11 games.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 42.25
  • Total Yards: 531.25
  • Pass Yards: 372.75
  • Rush Yards: 158.50
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 17.75
  • Total Yards: 343.75
  • Pass Yards: 212.75
  • Rush Yards: 131

Kansas at West Virginia NCAA Football Betting Trends

 
  • Kansas is 2-4 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Kansas is 2-14 SU in the last 16 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Kansas’s last 6 games on the road
  • West Virginia is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
  • West Virginia is 4-1 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went UNDER in 6 of West Virginia’s last 9 games
 

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Kansas at West Virginia

While I certainly don’t think Kansas is capable of winning outright, I’m feeling like the 32 percent of public bettors that like the Jayhawks to cover the chalk have made the right call for this matchup. Yes, I know the Jayhawks are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games, 15-36-1 ATS in their last 52 road games and 11-27 ATS in their last 38 games in October while the Mountaineers have gone 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. However, West Virginia is also a discouraging 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games in October while the Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in this series. Basically, I think the spread is just a bit too high for the Mountaineers to cover. NCAA Football Week 6 Pick: West Virginia 45 Kansas 28
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