Updated National Championship Odds After Week 12

Updated National Championship Odds After Week 12

Written by on November 22, 2022

It’s the final week of the regular season for most college football teams and also rivalry weekend. Let’s take an updated look on the updated national championship odds. One team likely will be eliminated from the chase on Saturday: The loser of the epic Michigan-Ohio State matchup.

College Football Week 12

Georgia remains the -140 title favorite to repeat after winning 16-6 at Kentucky in Week 12. The Dawgs should have little trouble this week against Georgia Tech and then face LSU in the SEC title game. Georgia is just the third SEC team since 1992 to complete back-to-back 8-0 campaigns in conference play. UGA is aiming to complete its sixth undefeated regular season in school history and second straight under Kirby Smart. These special seasons came in 1896 (4-0), 1946 (10-0), 1980 (11-0), 1982 (11-0) and 2021 (12-0). The Bulldogs are looking to go undefeated at home for the fifth time in seven seasons under Smart.

Once again, the Bulldogs lead the nation in Scoring Defense, giving up just 11.1 points per contest. The defense has posted 24 scoreless quarters, including holding five teams scoreless in the opening half this year. Georgia is averaging 38.4 points/game offensively, which is 11th nationally. The Bulldogs have outscored their opponents 422-122 this season, including 234-53 in the opening half. UGA is 59 of 61 in the Red Zone (a national leading 97 percent) this year with 40 touchdowns and 19 field goals.

The Bulldog seniors will be recognized before the Tech game. This Bulldog class has an opportunity to set the school record for the most career wins. They tied the mark set by the 2021 national champions with their 45th last Saturday. The 2021 class finished 45-8 while the 2022 seniors are 45-5.

The Bulldogs lead the Tech series 69-39-5 including 31-14-1 in Dooley Field at Sanford Stadium. Georgia has won the last four meetings with Tech upsetting the Bulldogs 28-27 in Athens in 2016. The teams did not play in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic where only conference contests were held. Last year in Atlanta, Georgia completed a 12-0 regular season with a 45-0 shutout of Tech. The 45-point margin of victory tied for the largest in the series history, matching the 2019 outcome in Athens when the Bulldogs cruised to a 52-7 win.

Ohio State is +250 and Michigan +250 as they meet as unbeatens for the first time since 2006. The winner is in the Big Ten title game. Michigan has achieved its first 11-0 start under head coach Jim Harbaugh.  Saturday’s contest will be the 118th meeting between the two programs; U-M holds a 59-52-6 advantage in the all-time series. Michigan is one of two teams ranked in the top 10 in both scoring offense (ninth) and scoring defense (second), along with Ohio State (second, offense, 10th, defense). Jake Moody leads the NCAA in points (122) and field goals per game (2.27 avg).  Blake Corum is the first player in U-M history with a rushing touchdown in 11 straight games.

Ohio State is seeking a sixth Big Ten championship game appearance while Michigan is looking for a repeat trip to Indianapolis to defend its 2021 title. OSU has not lost a Big Ten game at Ohio Stadium since the 2015 season (Michigan State; 17- 14) and has won 29 consecutive conference games at home.

Ohio State has Top 10 rankings in both total offense (8th; 492.7) and total defense (9th; 283.4). The Buckeye offense is scoring 46.8 points per game – 2nd nationally – and has scored 52 of 54 times in the red zone for the second-highest percentage in the country (.963).

TCU is +1400 to win a title and is in the Big 12 title game – first things first a tough matchup this Saturday vs. Iowa State. Four of TCU’s wins are against teams it lost to by at least two scores last season, including three by at least three scores. Iowa State defeated TCU 48-14 in last year’s season finale. It’s also the Horned Frogs’ last loss.

TCU is 11-0 for the fourth time in its history and first time since 2010, when it went 13-0 en route to winning the Rose Bowl. The Horned Frogs are the first Big 12 team to be 11-0 since Texas in 2009. TCU is the first team since 1975 to win seven straight games by 10 points or less. Sonny Dykes is the first head football coach in TCU and Big 12 history to be 11-0 in his first season. TCU’s five wins over ranked opponents equals the combined total of the other three undefeated teams (Georgia, 2; Ohio State, 2; Michigan 1.


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