2021 Capital One Orange Bowl Betting: Georgia vs Michigan Odds

The Georgia Bulldogs face off against the Michigan Wolverines with a lot more at stake than just an Orange Bowl victory. In the final New Year’s Eve college football clash on Friday, the Orange Bowl winner stamps their ticket to the College Football National Championship. Georgia is a big -7 ½ favorite to trounce Michigan. But the Wolverines earned their CFP spot. Will Jim Harbaugh’s squad make it tough on Georgia? Or will Kirby Smart’s team win and cover? Keep reading for College Football Bowl odds, analysis, and a free pick for Georgia versus Michigan.  

CFP Semifinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl: Georgia versus Michigan Betting Analysis

Orange Bowl Odds | Georgia Bulldogs vs Michigan Wolverines

• When: Friday, Dec. 31 at 7:30 pm ET
• Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
• TV / Streaming: ESPN / ESPN+
• ATS Odds: Georgia -7 ½    
• Moneyline Odds: Georgia -300 / Michigan +240  
• Over/Under Odds: 45    

Why bet on Georgia versus Michigan?

Georgia failed in the SEC Championship, but that was against rival Alabama. If we forget about the SEC title game, the Bulldogs dominated during the season, trouncing teams like Arkansas 37-0, Auburn 34-10, Kentucky 30-13, and Tennessee 41-17. Not only that, but although Michigan is a good football team, they haven’t faced a defense as dominant as UGA’s. 

Georgia Bulldogs Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 442.8

• Passing Yards: 247.9

• Rushing Yards: 194.8

• Points Scored: 39.4

• Turnovers: 4

Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 254.4

• Passing Yards: 172.2

• Rushing Yards: 82.2

• Points Scored: 9.5

• Takeaways: 12

Why bet on Michigan versus Georgia?

The Wolverines played the much better teams. Even though Georgia beat Clemson, the Tigers weren’t nearly as formidable this season as they have been. The lone top team Georgia beat was Arkansas because Auburn, Florida, Kentucky, and Tennessee weren’t great in 2021. Michigan blasted Ohio State 42-27. The Wolverines beat Iowa 42-3 and dusted Maryland 59-18. Michigan is a legit College Football Playoff squad that can hang with any team in the nation. 

Michigan Wolverines Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 451.9

• Passing Yards: 228.1

• Rushing Yards: 223.8

• Points Scored: 37.7

• Turnovers: 4

Michigan Wolverines Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 315.8

• Passing Yards: 194.7

• Rushing Yards: 121.1

• Points Scored: 16.1

• Takeaways: 8

Relevant Trends for Georgia Bulldogs vs Michigan Wolverines

• Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 bowl games
• Georgia is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games
• Under is 6-1 in the Bulldogs’ last 7 bowl games as a favorite
• Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
• Michigan is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games
• Over is 8-1 in the Wolverines last 9 versus the SEC 

Orange Bowl Final Betting Prediction

The Georgia Bulldogs were ranked number 1 for most of the season. In hindsight, college football handicappers read too much into UGA’s victory over Clemson.

Alabama exposed the Bulldogs for what they were, a team with a very good defense, an okay offense, and one that went undefeated due to strength of schedule. Michigan is more legit than UGA.

The Wolverines boast the top defensive end in college football in Aidan Hutchinson. The Heisman Trophy Finalist will dominate UGA quarterback Stetson Bennett. On offense, Michigan will have success rushing the football.

If the Bulldogs put an extra man in the box, experienced Cade McNamara will find the open receiver. Almost as important? Georgia had coasted all season until the SEC Championship. Then when the Dawgs faced a real college football team, they imploded.

From day 1, the Wolverines were underdogs. They answered the call in every game save for when they blew a lead versus rival Michigan State. The Wolverines are the better team. It will show on the field. Michigan wins this straight up. 

Orange Bowl Betting Pick: Michigan Wolverines

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