NCAAF 2020 Season Week 6 ATS Expert Analysis

NCAAF Season Week 6 ATS Expert Analysis

Written by on October 5, 2020

We are about to head into Week 6 of the college football season, although some will argue that the real games began a couple of weeks ago when the SEC came to play. Either way, we have another busy weekend ahead of us and a lot of games to break down. We are going to do out best to put together some winning picks, but we are going to break them down by wager type. For the purposes of this piece, we will be looking at against the spread selections, but also be on the lookout for our SU and O/U picks, which we will have coming your way this week. Let’s jump right in and see if we can get some winners, along with their NCAAF odds.

NCAAF ATS Picks Week 6 | College Football Betting

Florida Gators (-7) at Texas A&M Aggies

The Florida Gators have come storming out of the gate, with QB Kyle Trask throwing 10 TD passes through their opening two games of the season. They have been a fabulous bet against the spread of late, going 8-3-1 ATS through their last 12 games. They have also been a sure bet in Week 6 of the season, covering the spread in each of their last 7 in that week. The Aggies are 1-1 to start the season and they have a very inexperienced secondary that could well be picked apart by this potent Gators offense. Conference games are always tough, but I think the Gators are a very good bet to cover here.

Pittsburgh Panthers (-5 ½) at Boston College Eagles

If you look at the recent trends for the Panthers, you see a team that is just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games. The Panthers have been winning, though, and are 3-1 in the early going this season, but that has not translated to covering the spread. That said, October has been a very good month for them, as they have covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 games played in that month. The Eagles have been great ATS, covering in 8 of their last 10, but I still think they are going to lose and fail to cover here. I am on the Panthers to win this one going away.

Miami Hurricanes (+15) at Clemson Tigers

Given how dominant the Clemson Tigers have been in the ACC over the past few years, it is always a bit of a risk to bet against them. I think, though, that we might be looking at a matchup this weekend where that spread seems just a little too large. Let’s consider the fact that the Tigers have failed to cover this season and are now on a run of failing to cover in 4 straight games. The Hurricanes have not had a lot of joy against Clemson in recent years, but they are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 versus conference foes. Let’s take a bit of a shot and go with Miami to cover.

You might also want to take a look at the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, who are a 21-point favorite against the Florida State Seminoles. I try to steer clear of these bigger spreads, but there is a huge talent gap between these two teams, which make the Irish ATS a tempting wager.

 
 

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